Feral Jundi

Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Maritime Security: The Evolution Of The Somali Piracy Business Model

     “The Piracy Business Model” describes a system that guarantees every participating pirate a defined share of the ransom money. It is sophisticated enough that it includes “A” shares and “B” shares similar to preferred and common shares in legitimate publicly traded companies around the globe. Just like with preferred stock, there is a premium for entering the game. Piracy “A” shares are earned by bringing weapons and being the first pirate to board a ship during attack. The lower-level militiamen that fill the roster each earn a “B” share. Once a ship is hijacked and brought to port, it’s time to balance the books by paying suppliers, investors, local elders for anchoring rights, and “B” shareholders. The remaining funds are split among the “A” shares and distributed accordingly to the “A” shareholders. 

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   I have to tell you that I find this evolution of piracy or ‘privateering’ in Somalia to be fascinating. What is interesting to watch is that the Somalis are applying modern day business practices and finance to the concept.  If you would like to study a similar model, just check out early America with our privateers during the Revolutionary War and War of 1812.

   So let’s go over a couple of the points in these two articles I posted, that caught my eye.  The first is Fourth Generation Somali Piracy.  The idea being, is that pirates would hijack ships, use key valuable personnel as human shields, and then convert that boat into a operations platform or ‘mother ship’.  Makes sense, and I could see them doing that.

   The idea being is that sailing that hijacked ship all the way back to their failed state’s harbor is time consuming and inefficient.  You could stay out at sea, live more comfortably on a newer hijacked vessel, and continue to expand your piracy operations in places where navies are not operating at. I will keep my eyes open for any proof of this happening.

   These pirates are smart, and they will find a way to get to waters in which the EU, NATO and the US is unable to reach.  They will also go after weak and unsuspecting vessels, which means going to places where piracy really isn’t a big thing of that region.

     Armed security details on boats will really be the only counter to this, because today’s navies are just not able to cover the kind of territory we are talking about.  Plus the cost for today’s naval activities is astronomical.  Billions of dollars are being spent every year to go after pirates in small boats armed with AK’s. The pirates are the small and many–western navies are the few and large. ( a reference to the ‘new rules of war‘)

     The other article is just a touch up on the politics of piracy.  Now that these guys are making the fat cash, they are able to sling dollars to politicians so that they can protect their business.  Pretty standard for organized crime or any venture that wants to expand their horizons and add stability to their operation.  And with the stock market approach, politicians and jihadists can all invest in these pirate ventures.  The quote up top indicates that their little stock market concept is evolving and dare I say, the pirates are applying Kaizen to their set up? lol

   Now to finish up on my solution to this thing.  We are now in a prime opportunity to once again apply the concepts of yesteryear to today’s piracy.  We should be encouraging the shipping industry to outfit their boats with competent security teams, complete with sufficient firepower to deal with all potential threats.  We should also have a legal system in place that can effectively deal with and integrate with this private security apparatus. And with the advent of pirates being captured, having an effective international courts system that these thugs worry about and fear, would be highly advantageous. And of course, the world’s navies should continue to hunt and destroy/capture these folks, and work with the security teams of boats, in order to effectively deal with this scourge.

    I would mention using the Letter of Marque as another tool to combat piracy, but I doubt today’s modern navies would appreciate that kind of thing.  Maybe when countries are financially drained from their anti-piracy ventures, will they consider such tools. Until then, anti-piracy will give these large lumbering navies something to do.  They have to justify their budgets and existence somehow, right? lol But my point with the LoM, is that creating a free market kill/capture mechanism to go after these guys, is one of the only ways to really keep up with this ever evolving piracy business model, and especially in the commons of the open sea. –Matt

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Somali Piracy Tactics Evolve; Threats Could Expand Globally

April 2010

By Michael G. Frodl

Underwriters and shippers are as concerned about what the United States and other powers won’t do against Somali pirates, as they are about what the pirates will do against ships they insure, own and operate.

While the Gulf of Aden is a relatively safe passage for the deployment of warships through a narrow corridor in a vast gulf, some Somali pirates have retaken the initiative in the waters of the Indian Ocean off East Africa.

Continuing to treat Somali pirates as a homogenous, if not a monolithic threat, is not working.

The current approach is showing diminishing returns on investments in anti-piracy. The deployment of modern warships costs easily more than a billion dollars a year, if not more, to sustain. Risks to shipping and the costs of underwriting continue to rise in the ocean where 60 percent of global commerce transits.

Meanwhile, the return on investment in piracy, which basically involves arming and supplying a handful of men and sending them out on a mother ship and two skiffs, only continues to rise.

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Guatemala: Private Security Is Good Business In Guatemala

     “The guards and the guns they wield — pump action shotguns and old revolvers — mark the front doors of businesses and the guard gates of wealthy neighborhoods. They have become accepted members of a culture numb to crime,” Fieser writes. Professor Ungar says: “Can you imagine walking into a Guatemala City shopping mall and not seeing a guard? People wouldn’t know what to do…. Guards have become a social phenomenon. They are part of the fabric of urban life.”

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     Wow, sometimes you stumble upon some really cool statistics that just give you a pause.  This article is filled with those kinds of statistics, and this thing delves into South African and Brazilian statistics on security guards as well.

     My take away on all of this, is that the main theme I see repeated over and over again throughout the world when it comes to guards or security contractors is that if you pay peanuts, you get monkeys. Also, without standards and some kind of a regulatory body with teeth, you will have problems. And what do you know, our industry is coming up against these same issues, and I just don’t get why these lessons are not learned and applied? Well, I do know why–because security is a luxury in most folks minds, until someone gets hurt or killed, and regulating an industry takes effort and leadership. Most folks in charge in these countries are poor leaders and lazy or the government organizations tasked with monitoring and regulating, have no money or resources to do that job. (or they just don’t think it is a worthy expense)

   Well, on the plus side, at least all of these security industries throughout the world have access to the internet.  They can actually research what works and what doesn’t work, and the information is there for anyone interested in applying Kaizen to their industry. There are folks in these countries who care, and who are trying to do what is right, and bravo to them for keeping up the fight. Maybe the folks in Guatemala will be reading Feral Jundi and get a feel for the best industry practices?  Who knows, but I have to think that everyone’s learning organizations will only be enhanced by what is currently out there.  All they have to do is grab that information and ‘build a snowmobile’ out of it. –Matt

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Private security is good business in Guatemala

22 March 2010

In the United States there are 1.09 million private guards — that is, one guard for every 280 people; in Guatemala, a country of 13 million people, there are between 100,000 to 150,000 guards (the exact number is not known since many of these companies do not bother to register with the authorities); this is one guard for every 85 to 130 residents; the combined number of state and federal police in the United States is 883,600; Guatemala has roughly 22,000 active police officers

When it comes to crime and lawlessness, few countries could match South Africa. Just one example: The United States has a population of 307,000,000. South Africa’s population is 49,000,000. The number of murders committed in the United States between April 2008 and March 2009: 16,204. The comparable number in South Africa during the same period: 18,148. The murder rate in South Africa is 38.6 murders per 100,000 citizens. The world’s average for murder is 5 per 100 000.

The prevalence of crime, especially violent crime, is one manifestation of lawlessness. Another manifestation is the health of the private security industry. The business of private security thrives in countries on which the government does not offer sufficient protection to the people at the same time that it does not do enough to fight crime.

Two countries in which the private security sector thrives are South Africa and Brazil. There are other countries, too, in which offering private security services is a lucrative business.

Ezra Fieser writes in GlobalPost that Guatemala is one of these countries. Security guards employed by private companies in Guatemala outnumber police seven-to-one. Throughout Latin America private security guard forces dwarf police rolls (note that even the United States has more guards than police — 1.09 million to 883,600, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Fieser notes that this is about one guard for every 280 people).

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Mexico: Gates And Mullen Heading To Mexico, Consular Posts Get 15% Danger Pay

   This is an interesting development, because now we are sending in the big guns to talk shop with Mexico about what else can be done.  And when I hear things like, ‘evolve the Merida Inititative’, I tend to take notice.  Does that mean we are going to add more teeth to it, or fast track the current orders, or what?  Will this look more and more like the Plan Colombia that everyone keeps talking about, as the violence increases on the border?  Well, when you send the chairman of  the Joint Chiefs of Staff and our Defense Secretary to Mexico, that might be an indication of things to come.

   I also noticed over at Diplopundit, that all the consulates in Mexico are getting a 15% Danger Pay increase.  So yet again, is this a sign of things to come?  Because this is definitely a recognition of the fact that things really are dangerous for our diplomats in Mexico.  Duh.

   Finally, I wanted to talk about this Merida Initiative. I have heard next to nothing about this in the idle industry chit chat out there. And believe me, I check the forums and do my searches–yet nothing.  If any of the readership has anything relevant, please feel free to add whatever in the comments. Like with China, I would like to make Feral Jundi the goto resource for anything related to contracting in Mexico.  As this thing ‘evolves’, I think we will see more interesting opportunities pop up–much like what happened with Plan Colombia. –Matt

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Gates, Mullen Head U.S. Crime-Fighting Delegation to Mexico

Camille Tuutti

Mar 22, 2010

Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates and Navy Adm. Mike Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, will travel to Mexico City this week as part of a U.S. delegation focused on helping the Mexican government fight drug-trafficking cartels and other security threats.

“It is in our interest that our friends have greater capabilities to protect their own security and to take care of transnational criminal activity such as the drug cartels,” Gates said. “It is in our interest, because we have [a] shared interest to enhance the capabilities of the Mexican armed forces.”

The Mexico visit will build on the last high-level consultative group session, when Hillary Rodham Clinton and Mexican Foreign Secretary Patricia Espinosa discussed ways to evolve the Mérida Initiative in December 2008.

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Saturday, March 20, 2010

Call To Action: The 2010 Warrior Pride Ride

   This is a cool project that Jake is working on, and I figured I would do a little promoting for it.  Little fundraiser projects like this can be immensely helpful to the Wounded Warrior Project or similar foundations.  Especially if guys and gals started their own little fundraisers in their towns, and then you can see how big this could get if everyone started doing it. The point is, every dollar counts and it is all going to the cause of supporting wounded warriors.

   The contribuventure concept is really neat and I hope it catches on.  If you follow the links below, you can further investigate what this is all about. To those that are doing the 2010 Warrior Pride Ride, have a good one and thanks for caring. –Matt

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Welcome to the 2010 Warrior Pride Ride!  A Contribuventure to support America’s wounded veterans.

The Contribution

The purpose of the 2010 Warrior Pride Ride is to raise $5,000 for the Wounded Warrior Project (WWP).  Donations will go to support the men and women who’ve served our country and who, as a direct result of that service, now suffer from a debilitating injury or condition.  Often their injury not only makes it impossible to continue their military service but also presents huge challenges in  re-integrating into civilian life.

The Adventure

As Contribuventurists we will ride our bicycles for 5 consecutive days going from the Washington D.C. area south to Virginia Beach.  The total distance is nearly 300 hundred miles.  Our adventure will  begin on or about Sunday, 30 May, 2010, and will end on Friday, 4 June, 2010.

We will stop to thank veterans along the way.

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Cool Stuff: The JetLev

Filed under: Cool Stuff,Funny Stuff — Tags: , , , , , — Matt @ 2:52 PM

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