Rest in peace to the fallen. This last couple of weeks has been a bad one for our industry and my heart goes out to the friends and family of the dead. These deaths are also a reminder of the kind of sacrifice this industry is making in this war.
As for Iraq, I expect to see more deaths as our industry steps up to fill more security vacuums created by the departure of troops. The war is entering a very interesting and dangerous phase, and one in which the enemy will certainly try to take advantage. They will probably step up attacks on the Iraqi government, as well as step up any attacks on places that are in the process of transition.
What I mean by that is as we hand over more responsibilities to the Iraqis in terms of security, or in terms of occupying key bases, the enemy will do all they can to throw a wrench into that process. Anything they can do to show how ineffectual the government is, or their inability to protect the citizenry, will be in the play book. They will do all they can to present an image that all the hard work and progress made by the US and it’s partners in Iraq, went out the window as they leave by the thousands. This time period will certainly be a test for Iraq and it’s security forces.
I suspect that the enemy will also see what they can get away with, with the new security arrangements between the Iraqi forces and whatever ‘civilian forces’ we have left in the country. That means mortar or rocket attacks to test any counter attacks, or they might even take a page from the Afghan playbook and try some ‘suicide assaulter’ attacks at bases and outposts.
Not to mention the fact that the Iranians will probably have a hand in some of this transitional chaos. It was reported that this is a concern, and I could see those guys gearing up for some Iraq play time as well. Only time will tell. –Matt
——————————————————————
Three U.S. Embassy guards killed in rocket attack in Baghdad’s Green Zone
By Ernesto LondoñoFriday, July 23, 2010
BAGHDAD — A rocket attack in Baghdad’s Green Zone Thursday afternoon killed three guards employed by the U.S. Embassy and wounded 15 people, including two Americans, the embassy said.
Two of the guards killed were Ugandan and one was Peruvian, embassy officials said.
Also Thursday, Iraqi officials disclosed that four detainees linked to the Sunni insurgent group al-Qaeda in Iraq escaped this week from a prison the United States handed over to Iraqi control last week.
In a statement on the Green Zone attack, the embassy said those killed or wounded worked for a government contractor that protects U.S. facilities in Iraq. Herndon-based Triple Canopy employs the Ugandan and Peruvian guards who work at the embassy.
The statement did not say whether the rocket landed inside the embassy compound. Some of the guards work at outer checkpoints.
The United States has long employed Peruvian guards to protect civilian and military installations in Iraq. In recent months, according to guards, it has begun phasing out Peruvians in favor of Ugandans, who work for less money. Guards from third-country nations earn $450 to $1,000 a month, the guards said.
Insurgents have for years lobbed rockets toward the heavily guarded, sprawling U.S. Embassy compound inside the Green Zone. Such attacks intensified in the spring and summer of 2007 and again in the spring of 2008, and have since occurred sporadically. Most do not result in casualties.
The attack underscored the tenuousness of security a month before the U.S. military is scheduled to declare the nominal end of its combat mission in Iraq and reduce its troop level to 50,000.
Although violence has decreased in the country, attacks occur almost daily, and many Iraqis fear that political violence will intensify in the months ahead as a struggle for power spawned by the inconclusive March 7 parliamentary elections drags on.
