Feral Jundi

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Industry Talk: In Libya, Fight Mercenaries With Mercenaries, By Dr. Deane-Peter Baker

Filed under: Industry Talk,Letter Of Marque,Libya — Matt @ 7:25 PM

I have received several emails and Facebook forwardings in regards to this particular op-ed, and I thought I would put it out there for folks to check out.  I have never talked with Dr. Deane-Peter Baker, but he does have some credentials and a few books under his belt.

My personal view is that we should not get involved with Libya’s civil/tribal war. But going beyond opinions, I wanted to focus on the capabilities of PMC’s and if in fact they could have an impact on the ground in Libya. I think so, because like Dr. Baker presented, there is precedent for companies participating in offensive operations  abroad and succeeding. The Flying Tigers and Executive Outcomes were mentioned below as companies that did such a thing, and I have my own list of folks that get an honorable mention (check my history section).

Now it has been established that companies have the potential to do this, but what is missing in the present is the legal will to do such a thing.  Operations like this would require a blessing from the highest levels of government, and the license would have to give a company all the same freedoms and liberties that today’s militaries enjoy–and then some. If you want success out of a company, and you care to achieve victory in a war, you must give that company total freedom to do what it needs to do. You must also give it the assurance that they will not be turned into criminals for the warfare they wage, and this is very important.

That’s not saying that a company would want the freedom to commit atrocity and war crime.  It’s just the company must know that it is legally authorized to do what it has to do in the context of the chaos and unpredictability of war.  Of course that is why I keep harping on the Letter of Marque and Reprisal or similar type license that is approved and signed in blood by the highest authorities of that issuing country.  Until that happens, the serious and most capable of companies will always default to the contracts that give them the happy medium of profit and legality.

Now of course a company can go off the grid and attempt to arrange a contract without anyone’s blessing. In a perfect world and free market society, this would work out just fine. But in today’s modern times, countries still rule the military and legal battlefields, and they will always exert control when it’s best interest is threatened or could be enhanced. If I had a dollar for every company that ‘wanted’ to provide a service in let’s say Somalia, and yet to be shut down or intimidated by any of the super powers or other authority… So yeah, the legal blessing is the key here.  The money and everything else involved with war fighing else is just business, but the legal authority along with the moral/legal will of the issuing party, is the most valuable thing that a company could have if they wanted to go down this path. Just my two cents on the whole thing. –Matt

 

In Libya, fight mercenaries with mercenaries
By Deane-Peter Baker
March 29, 2011
It is time to state the glaringly obvious. Without at least some boots on the ground in support of the rebels, the conflict in Libya will in all likelihood settle into a grinding stalemate. The air cover provided by the United States and a slowly growing coalition has pegged back Col. Moammar Gadhafi’s forces, but it will take more than air cover to ensure a rebel victory. (more…)

Saturday, March 26, 2011

Quotes: Libyan Rebels ‘Considering Hiring Security Experts’, Says Reporter

Filed under: Industry Talk,Letter Of Marque,Libya,Quotes — Matt @ 4:55 PM

A hat tip to Wired’s Danger Room for finding this little nugget of information.  As far as I have heard, the only involvement of PSC’s in Libya was the initial stages of rescuing clients caught in the chaos.  Although it would not surprise me if there are already a few freelancers running around doing their thing–but that is not confirmed.?As to involvement of PMC’s in the actual offensive operations or advising the rebels?

Boy, whatever company that takes that on will need some serious blessings from the highest levels of government.  I am talking a license from the US government or from the UN, or both.  Preferably both, and that license should cover everything.  The US already has such a thing that they issue through ITAR.  But that is for other than offensive operations.

For offensive operations or actual authorization to kill Qaddafi and his troops, it will take something with a little bit more legal teeth.?What I am talking about is somewhere along the lines of a death warrant, bill of attainder or Letter of Marque and Reprisal.  Something that gives the acting party the ultimate in legal protections to do what it has to do out there.  That document must also have all the right signatures and blessings.?Of course the other way to contribute is via the outlaw way, or just do it without official legal blessing.

Good luck getting any of the serious players in this game with that kind of set up.  They would much rather stick to the safe and ‘legal’ PSC work in Iraq and Afghanistan.?I am also reminded of what happened in Rwanda and the world’s reaction back then.  At that time everyone sat and watched as a genocide played out before our eyes.  There were also calls to do something, and no one sent troops to stop it.  The UN was so desperate at the time that they reached out to Executive Outcomes and asked for a quote for their services. Of course the UN was not hip on contracting the services of a capable PMC. They also thought EO’s price was too expensive, and yet ended up spending even more money for a UN only mission that responded way too late to the massacre and failed at saving lives. I often wonder how many people could have been saved if EO was contracted and tasked to saved the day there? –Matt

They do know that.  And it‘s an emotional thing.  They don‘t want to see Gadhafi thrown out by the 82nd American Airborne Division, or the 101st or anything like that.?But if there were groups of 12 Team Alphas, the Special Forces here, hidden away someplace, giving them advice and communicating with aircraft, I know they would accept that.  I spoke with some rebel leaders who definitely want that.?They‘re even considering hiring security experts on their own—and there are a lot of I guess you could call them mercenaries that are available on the open market, British, SAS, people who retired and are now working more or less freelance.  They‘re looking actively to hire people like that, and it would certainly be more effective and cheaper and less chaotic than having all of the wannabe Rambos flowing in if they had some sort of direct communication with the people who are giving them military cover.-Richard Engel, Reporter In Libya.

Friday, March 11, 2011

Black Swan Events: Earthquake/Tsunami In Japan, Uprisings In The Middle East

     This is tragic, and my heart goes out to all those impacted by these disasters.  I was watching the tsunami in Japan on television and the footage was remarkable.  The tsunami was a result of an earthquake and it has pummeled Japan. There is a tsunami warning for Hawaii, other Pacific islands, and the entire West Coast in the US. To follow this stuff, definitely track the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center and your local news to get updates.

     A couple of things that come to mind on this.  This event, along with what is going on in Libya and potentially in Saudi Arabia, are all combining to make a Blackswan Event. Events that were not predicted, and change the dynamic dramatically. What I mean by that, is that the shock waves from both disasters, could have drastic consequence. The price of oil will rise, and all the business and economies that depend upon the stability of Japan will be negatively impacted. If Hawaii and the West Coast of the US are hit, that could have consequence as well. I will further update this post as events unfold and we will see how it goes…. –Matt

Update: 03/12/2011- Now the latest deal is the Nuclear Facilities in Japan are in dire straights. If they melt down, the fallout is of concern.  In the comments section, I have put up an article that discusses the fallout potential, and especially how it would impact North America via the Pacific Jet Stream.

Major Earthquake, Tsunami Hit Japan

Saudi police open fire at protest

Oil Rises in New York as Libyan Violence Intensifies, Refinery is Bombed

Major Earthquake, Tsunami Hit Japan

March 11, 2011

A massive 8.9 magnitude earthquake has struck off Japan’s northeastern coast, triggering a four meter tsunami that washed away cars along parts of the coastline.Video from national broadcaster NHK showed dozens of cars, large ferries and some buildings being swept out to sea in the port city of Kamaishi in the province of Iwate.The Japanese Meteorological Agency issued a tsunami warming for the entire Pacific coast of Japan following the quake that struck about 125 kilometers off the eastern coast, at a depth of 10 kilometers.  Residents in the coastal areas have been urged to immediately evacuate to higher ground.The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center in the U.S. state of Hawaii said a tsunami warning was also in effect for Russia, Marcus Island and the Northern Marianas.  It said a tsunami watch was issued for Guam, Taiwan, the Philippines, Indonesia and Hawaii.

(more…)

Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Funny Stuff: The UN Working Group On The Use Of Mercenaries Has A Libyan Member–Ooops!

     This is one of those deals that I thought needed to be put out there. This UN Group on the Use of Mercenaries has been so busy in scrutinizing everyone else, that they forgot to take a hard look at their own membership.  Gaddafi’s use of mercenary forces goes way back to his days with the Islamic Legion, and yet the working group still put a Libyan envoy on their board? That is one of those little details that the main stream media has forgotten to include in their stories about this group.  So from here on out, I should hope that any future stories would have a quick mention that this group chose a ‘dog of war’ as one of their members, and they were ok with that at the time.

    Did I mention she was also elected the President of the Human Rights Commission back in 2003?  You can’t make this stuff up. lol

    One more thing.  Eeben Barlow has posted a great article about the UN that should get more attention than what it is currently getting.  The UN’s mission in the Ivory Coast is the focus, and it isn’t pretty. –Matt

Group Calls for Libyan Envoy’s Removal From Post as U.N. Investigator of Human Rights Violations

By Diane Macedo

March 08, 2011

A watchdog group is asking the U.N. to immediately remove a Libyan envoy from her post as an investigator on human rights violations by mercenaries, saying that as a mouthpiece for a regime that’s “deploying hired guns to massacre its own people” it’s “outrageous” to have her in that position.

Najat Al-Hajjaji has been one of five members of “The Working Group on the use of mercenaries as a means of violating human rights and impeding the exercise of the rights of peoples to self-determination” since its inception in 2005.

Among other things, the group was established to monitor mercenaries and mercenary-related activities around the world, study their impact on human rights, create proposals to further the protection of human rights against threats posed by mercenaries and draft international principles to encourage respect for human rights by companies offering mercenary services, according to the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights website.

But U.N. Watch, an organization that monitors the performance of the United Nations, says Al-Hajjaji should be the “last person” charged with any of those duties – especially now.

(more…)

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

Funny Stuff: Rebellion

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