This is a startling revelation, and this just came out in the National Drug Threat Assessment for 2011 I posted earlier. A big hat tip to Small Wars Journal and Dr. Bunker for pointing out this fact and definitely follow the discussion over there if you are following this war.
I also wanted to mention that this weekend Borderland Beat posted a video and story that showed the execution of two men by a cartel execution squad. They cut one guy’s head off with a chainsaw, and the other guy’s head was cut off using a knife. The video was brutal to watch, and I will not post a link to it on this blog, but the imagery is left to your imagination. I have also seen this imagery and type of video elsewhere in the world, and that was in Iraq. Extremists cut off the heads of their captives and filmed it as well.
With both examples, the desired outcome of filming these executions was to send a message of horror and terror. And believe me, I see no difference between how the cartels or terrorists deliver that message.
But the interesting point here that I wanted to make is that Iraq and Afghanistan are ‘over there’, and the war in Mexico is in our backyard. Hell, with this report, the Mexican cartels are on now on the doorstep and seeping through the floor boards of the house. This is the war to be concerned about, and yet there is very little reaction to this in America.
It is like it is too awful to look at or acknowledge, much like the video of the chainsaw execution. But it happened, and the war in Mexico is happening, and we need to come to grips with that reality. Especially as these criminals infiltrate and turn Americans into traitors with their money and product.
Another example is the reaction the US has to a terror cell that is found and arrested on our soil. Politicians and the media get all riled up about such a thing, and terrorism is front and center on everyone’s minds. Visions of 9/11 and a fear of a second attack just freaks people out. That is terrorism.
But how are the cartels any different? They don’t just have one cell, but thousands of cells or groups throughout the US, and they sell drugs that have led to the deaths of thousands of Americans. Those same drugs have created addicts that go on to commit crimes and destroy families, all with a drive to get even more drugs. This addiction cycle has a profoundly negative impact on society, and this drug threat analysis clearly identified those issues.
The cartels profit off of American addiction, and they are infiltrating into this country in order to help create addicts, and then sell to those individuals for the lifetime of their addiction. These cartels find those who will help facilitate that process, and in war, you could actually view these individuals as traitors to this country. To provide a terrorism metaphor, it is a lot like how Al Qaeda looks for individuals that they can turn or convert into human weapons. Al Qaeda uses religion as the drug to make those individuals members of their cause, and the Cartels use drugs to make individuals ‘members of their cause’. The problem though is that it is far easier for a cartel to achieve their goals, compared to groups like Al Qaeda. That is the war, and that should trouble anyone that cares about the safety of their country. –Matt
Mexican Cartel Strategic Note
by Robert Bunker
September 25, 2011
Mexican Cartels (Transnational Criminal Organizations) Now Operating in Over 1,000 US Cities; Up From 195 US Cities
The recent publication of the US Department of Justice National Drug Intelligence Center (NDIC), National Drug Threat Assessment 2011 (http://www.justice.gov/ndic/topics/ndtas.htm#y2011) (August 2011) provides an important strategic insight into Mexican cartel penetration into the United States. On p. 8 of the document, a single sentence states:
Mexican-based TCOs were operating in more than a thousand U.S. cities during 2009-2010, spanning all nine OCDETF regions.
The corresponding note (g) is as follows:
Included are traffickers who purchase illicit drugs from TCO associates and distribute them on their own, cells that function as an extension of the TCO to traffic illicit drugs in the United States, and cells that provide warehousing, security, and/or transportation services for the TCO.
Prior publicly released National Drug Intelligence Center data on Mexican TCOs (Transnational Criminal Organizations) operating in the United States dates back to a situation report and a series of maps from April 2008. The Situation Report: Cities in Which Mexican DTOs Operate Within the United States (http://www.justice.gov/ndic/pubs27/27986/index.htm). This sentence from the Discussion section provides a baseline concerning Mexican cartel penetration into the United States:
Federal, state, and local law enforcement reporting reveals that Mexican DTOs operate in at least 195 cities throughout the United States.
The acronym “DTO” stands for Drug Trafficking Organization which has since been replaced by the acronym “TCO”— Transnational Criminal Organization— used in the 2011 document— to convey that the Mexican cartels are now viewed as more threatening and capable (with transnational reach) entities. This data comes from
“Federal, State, and Local Law Enforcement Reporting January 1, 2006 through April 8, 2008”. No corresponding note exists concerning the metrics of the data pertaining to this report, though it assumed, that the same data collection methodology was utilized by the US Department of Justice analysts. If this assumption is accurate:
This would mean that Mexican cartel operational penetration into US cities is now thought to be 500% higher than previously estimated in the time frame of roughly three years. The baseline of “at least 195 cities throughout the United States” has increased to “more than a thousand U.S. cities”.
While the April 2008 document was supported by Map 1. Cities reporting the presence of Mexican drug trafficking organizations showing the locations of the Mexican cartels in the United States, the new August 2011 National Drug Threat Assessment does not provide such a map. A query and public request for information to NDIC public affairs concerning the release of such a map was made. The response was that such a map would now be considered a law enforcement restricted document. While this might be understandable from an operational security (OPSEC) and counter-intelligence perspective, it is in variance with an open public debate on the Mexican cartel (and gang) threat to the United States and the more encompassing threat to Mexico, Central America, and other regions of the Western Hemisphere.
If US Congressional and Senate committees—such as the Western Hemisphere Subcommittee (http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/subcommittees.asp?committee=8)— and those focusing on homeland security are to continue their public hearings on this broadening threat, some consideration should be made as to US strategic requirements and open public debate. Ten years after the 9/11 attack by Al Qaeda, the United States has reached a pivotal strategic decision point in our national policies. Are we to continue with our national security policy of focusing on that terrorist entity (and its group of networks) as the dominant threat to the US and the homeland or will the Mexican cartels (and their supporting gang networks) now be recognized as replacing Al Qaeda as the number one threat to our government and safety of our citizens? While the violence potentials of Al Qaeda are universally recognized— we will never forget the thousands of our dead mourned after 9/11— the violence associated with the criminal insurgent potentials of the Mexican cartels and their ability to corrupt and undermine governments in the Western Hemisphere must now be considered far more threatening to our nation.1
Notes
1. Two issues should be further clarified. First, any type of Al Qaeda inspired attack taking place domestically— even a botched suicide bombing attempt against the DC metro system— would result in heightened media sensationalism and a continued US Governmental focus on Al Qaeda as the primary threat to this nation. The fallout from such an incident would likely serve to downgrade our perceptions related to the greater threat stemming from the more corruptive and subtle insurgent activities of the Mexican cartels combined with their use of symbolic violence. Second, I want to reiterate that the cause of global jihad promoted by Al Qaeda and other elements of radical Islam are still a significant threat to US interests and our global security posture. In the case of our allies in Europe, for example, Al Qaeda and radical Islam continue to be the number one external and internal strategic threat to many of these nations. When our own domestic security scales weigh the threats, however, Al Qaeda and radical Islam, has to now be considered less of a threat to the security of the United States than the Mexican cartels and their associates. Ultimately, while we can live with governmental failure and internal strife in Afghanistan and/or Iraq—we cannot say the same concerning Mexico, given the cross border cartel infiltration we have now identified per the National Drug Threat Assessment 2011.Robert Bunker
Dr. Robert J. Bunker holds degrees in political science, government, behavioral science, social science, anthropology-geography, and history. Training taken includes that provided by DHS, FLETC, DIA, Cal DOJ, Cal POST, LA JRIC, NTOA, and private security entities in counter-terrorism, counter-surveillance, incident-response, force protection, and intelligence. Dr. Bunker has been involved in red teaming and counter-terrorism exercises and has provided operations support within Los Angeles County.
Link to post here.
Some good points there. Personally I think they need to stop calling them cartels and start using terrorists. After all, isn't that what they are doing, sowing terror and despair. What you call something can have a powerful effect in peoples minds.
The author is right, although Al Qaeda et al remain a threat, how much of there capabilties have been taken away. Yet the drug cartels seem to be going from strength to strength. In addition, it is so much easier for them to infiltrate consdiering the size of the hispanic population in the US. Not to mention that they can use addicts in the states as their agents. It's not so hard to recruit them if they are already hooked on drugs.
I also believe that many in the US have a hard time recognizing this threat. The main reason for this would appear to be that it's a result of America's consumption of drugs. In effect, they are responsible for much of what happens, it's a case of supply and demand. I don't think that people want to admit that they have some part to play in this threat. You also have to factor in economics, in this day and age money is a bigger motivator then religion, and there's plenty of it to be made in narcotics.
Comment by Dan G — Monday, September 26, 2011 @ 7:06 PM
Good points Dan. Actually, I think there is a movement to legally classify them as a terrorists, just so we can go after them with those legal tools. But yeah, America's consumption of drugs is quite the deal.
Comment by Feral Jundi — Monday, September 26, 2011 @ 9:15 PM
The problem is that societies in "peace" will delude themselves into thinking that nothing is amiss until the devil is knocking at the door. Europe has made that mistake a few times, and we as Americans like to think that we're immune to issues because we're on the other of the Earth. If the Mexican government wasn't and hadn't been so corrupt since… forever, then they might have been able to nip this in the bud, but with billions of dollars in funding the cartels they likely have a higher GDP than the government, the only thing to make it worse would be that the cartels join forces and install a puppet government.
As for religion, consumerism and science have killed that at least in Western society. You can even look at Iraq as an example with the uneducated masses religion is the same as politics in 3rd world countries it's like medieval Europe with the corruption of the Catholic church… not that it's much better now, just better hidden from the public eye.
Overall though I agree we'd be better off dealing with the cartels as a hostile insurgency and treating US citizens that profit or collaborate as enemies of the state. It's even worse because since the cartels are businesses they're all the more likely to help other foreign terrorists to their ends for the right price.
Comment by Adam — Tuesday, September 27, 2011 @ 3:14 AM
It is interesting. I do think an appropriate first step would be to seal the border. Then at least law enforcement can deal with internal drug production and distribution, as opposed to imported drugs. The second step that I have been mulling, which to me makes a lot of sense the more I think about it, is to establish a charter city in Mexico. Something modeled after Hong Kong and in line with the vision of Paul Romer. Because if we can provide a source of jobs within the borders of Mexico, that not only benefits Mexicans, but US companies and anyone else wanting to do business in that Charter City, then I think that might help to reduce the work load on the border. It would give a choice to the desperate job seeker, that currently is willing to risk so much to cross into the US to get jobs. The trick would be to convince Mexico that this would be mutually beneficial.
As to the war itself, I would also like to see us treat this as a war or counter-criminal insurgency. We need lots of undercover folks to not only find, but fix all of these networks. The key to this undercover network would be using Mexicans, or tapping into our Latino population in the US. In this war, we have the moral authority to do whatever it takes, and the cartels do not have the support of the people. Having the moral high ground is a very important strategic advantage. Everything else is all about manpower. Can we match them physically–man for man, weapon for weapon? Can we match them mentally, and penetrate their networks so we can dismantle them? I think so, and I think we have a lot of lessons learned with the current wars we have been fighting.
Unfortunately though, I don't think many Americans are willing to acknowledge these realities, until that reality is in their face. They have so many other things worrying them, like the economy or terrorism, or whatever.
Those are just a few ideas, and I really hope that this issue gets more attention. This war is here, and it is happening right now. It is not 'over there'.
Comment by Feral Jundi — Tuesday, September 27, 2011 @ 12:02 PM
FJ,
Very interesting comparison to AQ creating “members of their cause.” It’s a shame that demand has created these monsters. That aside, what do you think it’s going to take to get the full attention of our military? It was one thing when the cartels were seen as only fighting each other, but now they’re targeting our citizens and law enforcement with corruption and violence.
[WORDPRESS HASHCASH] The poster sent us ‘0 which is not a hashcash value.
Comment by Jeremy — Tuesday, September 27, 2011 @ 5:07 AM
Jeremy,
Good question. The way to get people thinking about it, is to show them. If you have a FB page, find stories that highlight the problem, and share them with your network. That chainsaw execution was graphic and brutal, but an excellent example of how to shake things up within your network. You can talk about how brutal the cartels are, or what kind of threat they are to our country, but a video like that tells a story all it's own.
I had folks writing me after watching it, who told me literally that it was like getting hit with a sledge hammer of reality. And when you combine the reality of what these cartels are all about, and that they are now in over 1,000 US cities, then how can a person not be concerned? How is this not a threat?
Stuff like that also forces people to evaluate their own views on drugs. The message is 'the cocaine that you are snorting, is fueling that ultra-violent war in Mexico'. And as you continue to use that substance, and add to the demand, that you are only drawing these folks closer into America. That your desire to get high, or your addiction to use that drug, has an extremely negative and deadly consequence.
And as you can see with the report I posted, these cartels are literally fighting and dying to not only get you high, but to get you addicted so they can be your supplier for life. They are also doing all they can to locate and work with American traitors/criminals, who will help in the distribution of that product. That is what we are dealing with.
Comment by Feral Jundi — Tuesday, September 27, 2011 @ 12:21 PM
Thank you very much for the insightful reply. Man, this is some insidious stuff, and word needs to get out.
Not sure what it's worth, but I heard about the chainsaw video on the Opie and Anthony radio show, which is great for raising awareness. Hopefully once the situation spreads into popular culture it's only a matter of time until people demand action. My next fiction project is about PSCs on the border with Mexico (and I guarantee the truth is stranger), and Don Winslow wrote a fantastic book titled Savages about the Baja Cartel and drug dealers in Laguna Beach, CA.
Comment by Jeremy — Tuesday, September 27, 2011 @ 5:19 PM
Very cool about the book and I hope it goes well for you. The more attention to this stuff, the better.
Comment by Feral Jundi — Tuesday, September 27, 2011 @ 11:53 PM