Feral Jundi

Friday, January 14, 2011

Israel: The Dubai Job, By Ronen Bergman

     According to the official police report, the killers first injected Al-Mabhouh with a poison, then smothered him with a pillow. Saeed Hamiri, M.D., of the Dubai forensic lab, said the crime-scene investigators found a trickle of blood on Al-Mabhouh’s pillow, bruises on his nose, face, and neck, and an injection mark on his right hip. Along with signs of struggle in the room—a damaged headboard, for example—these details would seem to suggest that the target was smothered to death. But one has to wonder about the plausibility of these conclusions. (The Dubai chief of police did not respond to several requests from GQ for an interview.)

 

     Why did the Mossad permit things to go so wrong in Dubai? In a word, the answer is leadership. Because Dagan refashioned the Mossad in his own image, and because he drove out anyone who was willing to question his decisions, there was no one in the agency to tell him that the Dubai operation was badly conceived and badly planned. They simply did not believe that a minnow in the world of intelligence services such as Dubai would be any match for Israel’s Caesarea fighters.

     Wow, what a cool article and it really shed some light on this assassination performed by the Mossad’s Caesarea.  I posted a deal about this incident when it first came out and it was very interesting to see how this played out on the world stage.

    Of course some folks called it an embarrassment for the Israelis, because the operatives and operation were revealed by the Dubai police.  And others called it a success and that maybe the Israelis wanted to show the world that the finest security out there could not stop them from doing what they had to do. Either way, the Hamas jackass they targeted is dead.

     Now that some time has passed and folks have been able to put the pieces together, we are now getting a better picture on how this went down.  I didn’t know back then if they used poison or a stun gun to incapacitate Mahmoud Al-Mabhouh, so that they could smother him with a pillow. I guess it was poison and toxicology boiled it down to succinylcholine. *

     But with this stuff, the drug itself could have killed him. The pillow could have been used to muffle the target’s voice while waiting for the drug to do it’s thing. The big benefit of this drug is that it is one of the fastest acting muscle relaxants out there, so the struggle would have been minimal.

     The other part of this story that was interesting, was the commentary on Dagan–Mossad’s director.  If it is true that he is not seeking feedback or other people’s opinions then that is not good. Ultimately, an organization must be a learning organization if it wants to continuously improve. And because Dagan has forced out or shut down anyone that disagrees with him, now he is at the mercy of what Irving Janis calls groupthink. Not good. –Matt

The Dubai Job

One year ago, an elite Mossad hit squad traveled to Dubai to kill a high-ranking member of Hamas. They completed the mission, but their covers were blown, and Israel was humiliated by the twenty-seven-minute video of their movements that was posted online for all the world to see. Ronen Bergman reveals the intricate, chilling details of the mission and investigates how Israel’s vaunted spy agency did things so spectacularly wrong

By Ronen Bergman

January 2011

Monday, January 18, 2010. MorningAt 6:45 a.m., the first members of an Israeli hit squad land at Dubai International Airport and fan out through the city to await further instructions. Over the next nineteen hours, the rest of the team—at least twenty-seven members—will arrive on flights from Zurich, Rome, Paris, and Frankfurt. They have come to kill a man named Mahmoud Al-Mabhouh, a Hamas leader whose code name within the Mossad—the Israeli intelligence agency—is Plasma Screen.

Most of the operatives here are members of a secretive unit within the Mossad known as Caesarea, a self-contained organization that is responsible for the agency’s most dangerous and critical missions: assassinations, sabotage, penetration of high-security installations. Caesarea’s “fighters,” as they are known, are the elite of the Mossad. They rarely interact with other operatives and stay away from Mossad headquarters north of Tel Aviv, instead undergoing intensive training at a separate facility to which no one else in the agency has access. They are forbidden from ever using their real names, even in private conversation, and—with the exception of their spouses—their families and closest friends are unaware of what they do. As one longtime Caesarea fighter recently told me, “If the Mossad is the temple of Israel’s intelligence community, then Caesarea is its holy of holies.”

(more…)

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Cool Stuff: The PMSC Observer, By David Isenberg

     This is great.  I am glad to see that David created a blog purely dedicated to everything PMSC, and it is really cool to see him have his own site to play around with.  This blog is on my RSS reader and it will be fun to see what he digs up in the future for everyone’s reading pleasure.

     His archives will be a great resources as well because of all the industry related work he has done over the years. Check it out and feel free to drop him a comment, or do a search to get any questions answered. –Matt

The PMSC Observer

David Isenberg has over 20 years experience analyzing U.S. defense, foreign policy, national and international security issues. He has written for print (both for general public and specialist readers), television and radio, and run Internet websites and mailing lists. He has testified before Congress and lectured to the military. Areas of expertise include U.S. military force structure, defense budgeting, WMD proliferation, terrorism, homeland security, counterdrug, peace operations, intelligence policy, international arms trade, small arms proliferation, operations other than war, information warfare, private military companies, biological weapons, and general arms control issues.

Link to website here.

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Cool Stuff: Principal-Agent Theory

     I wanted to do a quick post on a little bit of knowledge that everyone would be wise to study.  If you want to know why contractors are paid as much as they are paid then definitely wrap your brain around the concept of Principal-Agent Theory and what it all means. It all boils down to ‘ensuring the provision of appropriate incentives so agents act in the way principals wish’.

    By the way, I picked up on this thing while reading a paper that David Isenberg commented on in a blog post. The paper was about Security Sector Reform (SSR) and the author mentioned Principal-Agent Theory towards the end of it. The author did a study on DynCorp/PAE’s SSR mission for DoS in Liberia, and it was an interesting read. Check it out. –Matt

     In political science and economics, the problem of motivating a party to act on behalf of another is known as ‘the principal–agent problem’. The principal–agent problem arises when a principal compensates an agent for performing certain acts that are useful to the principal and costly to the agent, and where there are elements of the performance that are costly to observe. This is the case to some extent for all contracts that are written in a world of information asymmetry, uncertainty and risk.

     Here, principals do not know enough about whether (or to what extent) a contract has been satisfied. The solution to this information problem — closely related to the moral hazard problem — is to ensure the provision of appropriate incentives so agents act in the way principals wish.

     In terms of game theory, it involves changing the rules of the game so that the self-interested rational choices of the agent coincide with what the principal desires. Even in the limited arena of employment contracts, the difficulty of doing this in practice is reflected in a multitude of compensation mechanisms (‘the carrot’) and supervisory schemes (‘the stick’), as well as in critique of such mechanisms as e.g., Deming (1986) expresses in his Seven Deadly Diseases of management. A distinct and relatively new meaning of the principal–agent problem describes the landlord-tenant relationship as a barrier to energy savings.

     This use of the term is described below in the section on the principal–agent problem in energy efficiency. The problem is also discussed in terms of “agency theory”.

Wikipedia for Principal-Agent Theory here.

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Weapons Stuff: Midwest Industries/US PALM AK Handguard Topcover

     This product caught my eye as another upgrade to the venerable Kalashnikov. Most importantly, it is an upgrade that allows you to utilize the weapon’s iron sites if the red dot you have on the thing goes down.

     I also like it as an upgrade that would be helpful for enhancing the marksmanship of your local national guard force. If you installed a red dot sight that did not require batteries (like a Trijicon RMR) on an AK outfitted with a rail like this, then you could help that soldier/guard in a couple of ways.

     If their eyesight sucks, then having a red dot for them to put on a target would make it easier for them to hit something. These third world war zones we fight in have local populations who are victims of years of poor nutrition, and this is what leads to poor eyesight. Places like Africa or Afghanistan come to mind as examples.

     The other benefit is the simplicity of hitting something with a weapon. Lining up the front sight post with the rear sight notch sounds simple enough, but it is amazing how this simple concept can be incredibly difficult to convey to someone that has never shot a weapon.  Putting a red dot on the target and pulling the trigger is a lot more simpler to teach.

     Of course you want to teach the fundamentals as best you can, but if time is an issue and you need to spin up a guard force quick, an AK that is easy to aim could help out a bunch.

    Not to mention night time shooting.  If you have a guard force on a post at night, what kind of night time capability do they have? Most private guard forces that I have seen had nothing.  So giving a guard force some kind of night shooting capability would be a plus, and it would also give those guards a better feeling about their own ability to hit something.

    Finally, if they break the red dot, lose the sight, or sell it, you will always have the iron sights as a back up.  Hopefully they would value having that red dot sight on their weapon because it would enhance their ability to be lethal. Cool product and a very smart upgrade for anyone interested in putting a red dot sight on an AK.-Matt

Midwest Industries link to product here.

 

Trijicon RMR here.

 

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Film: Casting Call For The Show Most Lethal, $100,000 To The Winner

     Now this is cool. This is the casting notice for an upcoming show on Spike TV called ‘Most Lethal’. I figured that many of my readers are exactly the type of guys that would qualify for such a thing, and if they wanted to take a break from contracting in the war for a bit, this just might be your deal. Good luck out there. –Matt

Here is the Facebook page for the casting here.

Here is the email if you cannot read it on the poster below: sofsearch@grbtv.com

  

Most Lethal

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