Feral Jundi

Sunday, April 11, 2010

Afghanistan: Polish and Kyrgyz Black Swan Events

   My heart goes out to Poland.  How incredibly tragic.  My heart goes out to the folks in Kyrgyzstan as well, and political upheaval is certainly a traumatic event for the people there.

   I put this in the Afghanistan category, because as we speak, there are several thousand Polish troops in Afghanistan that could possibly be called back to deal with their crisis. When the entire leadership is wiped out by an unfortunate air crash, there are just too many possibilities of what could happen. There was not much support for the war in Afghanistan, and new leadership might change direction on Poland’s involvement in the war.  I think it would be wise for today’s war planners to set in place some contingency stuff, if in fact Poland wants or even needs their troops back home.

   So that brings up the question, who would replace those troops if they had to scoot?  I brought this up a couple weeks ago in regards to NATO forces faltering and for whatever reason, having to leave the Afghan war. That contractors can be used to back fill, as NATO or ISAF finds replacement forces.

   In Kyrgyzstan, there has been some political unrest that has impacted Manas operations.  They actually halted all flights out of there today, and that is not good.  If logistics cannot depend upon the Manas air base there, then other options will have to be looked at.  The problem is though, that so much logistics goes through Manas, that there is a risk that operations will be negatively impacted in Afghanistan because of this hiccup. So will this mean that a new route or new air base will come on to the scene?  Will transportation on land increase because of what is going on, and what will that mean for private industry?

   I also called these incidents a Black Swan event, because they were not predicted, they will change the political landscape, and war planners will now have to look at contingency plans to deal with problems related to both of these countries. –Matt 

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Poland’s President, Central Bank Governor Die in Plane Crash

April 10, 2010

By David McQuaid and Piotr Skolimowski

April 11 (Bloomberg) — Polish President Lech Kaczynski and central bank Governor Slawomir Skrzypek were killed yesterday along with several key members of the country’s political elite when their plane crashed in western Russia, where they were to mark the 70th anniversary of a massacre of Polish officers.

The 60-year-old president’s wife, Maria, and leaders of the country’s main opposition parties and military, including the Army Chief of Staff Franciszek Gagor, also died, Foreign Ministry spokesman Piotr Paszkowski said in a phone interview. The crash, which happened as the aircraft was on approach for landing in Smolensk, killed all 96 on board, according to Russia’s Emergency Ministry.

Under Poland’s constitution the duties of the president, which are largely ceremonial, will be assumed by the speaker of the lower house of parliament, Bronislaw Komorowski. He will set a date for a presidential election within two weeks and the vote must be held within 60 days. Komorowski is the candidate of Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s Civic Platform party and polls show he was poised to defeat Kaczynski in presidential elections, originally scheduled for the second half of the year.

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Wednesday, March 3, 2010

Aviation: Resupply By Robot? UAV Competition Heats Up

     This is cool.  When I was fighting forest fires back in the day, I worked on a couple fires where they used the K-max. It’s a funky helicopter, and that would be very interesting to see that aircraft as a UAV for resupply.

     I really think this concept is one that could revolutionize the way we do business out there in the war. I could see a unit’s drone archers using these things to transport people and gear into strategic positions in the mountains, as well as using these things to transport wounded off of the battlefield. Having an on call aircraft that a unit could control to do all sorts of crazy cool things, would be an extremely valuable tool on the battlefield.  My only advice to the developers is to think ‘Ak 47’ of the sky, when it comes to making it durable and dependable.  The feeds to control the thing must be dependable and encrypted as well, because I would hate for these machines to be captured by the enemy.

   The other point I wanted to make with this craft is that it should always fly with support drones.  That way, the main supply drone could keep flying, and the support ‘killer drones’ could work on enemy emplacements.  Swarms of these things could instantly focus on whatever needs attention, all to support the mother craft so it can reach it’s destination.  Of course everything should have a human interface, and have an elephant chisel in order to kill it.  Mechanisms must be in place to insure there will be no blue on blue incidents, once we get into the business of resupply by UAV. –Matt

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K-Max being controlled by a drone archer.

Resupply by Robot? UAV Competition Heats Up

By Jack Mann

March 3rd, 2010

Resupplying combat troops in Afghanistan is a dangerous, slow and increasingly expensive undertaking.  Moving a truck filled with supplies 50 miles could require as many as 100 Marines, most of them to provide security, and take about 24 hours, according to DefenseNews.

Of course, it’s a lot faster to deliver supplies by helicopter, but that costs almost $10,000 per hour and puts airmen and helicopters at risk.  Airdrops by fixed-wing aircraft are safer, but much less accurate and just as expensive.

What’s a soldier to do? Employ UAVs, say Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman and Sikorsky.

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Monday, March 1, 2010

Paracargo: Army Testing New Airdrop System For Afghanistan

     Boy, I don’t know about this one.  Dropping paracargo without a chute, is the holy grail I guess, but in practice, there are a ton of issues.  If an aircraft has to drop low and slow, then now they are a prime target for an enterprising enemy.  How many aircraft will have to be shot down, before this ‘chute-less’ system becomes a failure is my question?

     The other point I want to make, is that if there is a need for more paracargo operations in Afghanistan, then a quick fix to get more folks over there, is for Dept. of Homeland Security to detail out the smokejumper units during the off season.  You have pilots, spotters (kickers), and tons of smokejumpers who all specialize in paracargo operations, who have nothing to do during the winters.  They could be called upon for disaster relief or the war effort, and they are all federal assets.  Or if companies wanted to tap into that resource, they could easily spread the word throughout the various lofts of smokejumper bases, and say they are looking for folks who specialize in small bundle paracargo operations.

     I think it is also pretty funny that the Army or whomever came up with this LCLA concept, and thinks that it is new or revolutionary. I have news for you folks, Low Cost Low Altitude paracargo operations is nothing new and the military, NGO’s, and smokejumpers have been performing such operations for a long time.

     At least with the smokejumpers, we actually make a point of retrieving, repairing, and reusing those cheap parachutes that the military is currently just throwing away.  But I guess if you guys are going to throw away paracargo chutes, then at least make the cheapest chutes possible.  In my experience, just a square piece of canopy with four lines made out of tubular webbing attached to it, worked pretty good.  Or you can take all of those old parachutes that the Army and Marines threw out, and convert them into usable paracargo chutes.  I know there are warehouses filled with that stuff, and it wouldn’t take much to get the machine of industry to modify all of that stuff for the war effort.  That is the kind of Low Cost paracargo operations that I am talking about. –Matt

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Army Testing New Airdrop System for Afghanistan

By USArmy

February 25, 2010

WASHINGTON: The supply requirement in Afghanistan will dramatically increase this year according to the Army’s top logistician, and he said the Army is testing a new airdrop system to help meet the demand.

Speaking at an Association of the U.S. Army Land Warfare Institute breakfast series Feb. 19, Lt. Gen. Mitchell H. Stevenson, Army G-4, told the attendees that he hopes the new delivery system will be ready for deployment to Afghanistan by the end of summer.

The Army Freedrop Packaging Concept Project is currently developing and testing a new airdrop system called the Freedrop Delivery System forAfghanistan.

The new system will allow bundles of supplies such as ammunition, small generators and other Class IX repair parts, Meals Ready to Eat, and bottled water of up to 150 pounds to be freedropped (no parachutes) at about 70 knots airspeed from under 75 feet above ground level at the current 19Afghanistan outposts which can only receive supplies by air.

“The idea here was to develop a package that you just kick out the side of a helicopter or airplane when you’re flying very low… 50 feet above ground,” Stevenson said. “You eliminate the problem of packing, rigging the chute and of course doing any kind of recovery operation.”

The freedrop system is currently being developed and tested by the Army G-4’s Logistics Innovation Agency and involves a number of key stakeholders, to include operational partners in the 82nd Airborne Division at Fort Bragg, N.C.

The Army already uses four airdrop systems in Afghanistan. Getting supplies to Soldiers there is tough because the country has no seaport and relies on two main land routes so “airdrop has become big business” said the Army’s chief logistician.

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Monday, December 14, 2009

Logistics: For U.S. Troops in Afghanistan, Supplies Are Another Battle

“At this phase, Afghanistan is a logistics war as much as any other kind of war,” said Mr. Carter, whose formal title is under secretary of defense for acquisition, technology and logistics, in a recent interview. 

*****

   Oh yeah, logistics, and not one mention of the contractors that will be responsible for getting those things into Afghanistan.  Maybe August could write a story about that sometime, because I know we are going to be in the thick of it all. I will keep my eye out, but at least this story gave a few indicators of the concerns with logistics. –Matt

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For U.S. Troops in Afghanistan, Supplies Are Another Battle

December 14, 2009

By August Cole

The White House has settled on sending additional troops to Afghanistan, and now the Pentagon must grapple with another thorny problem: how to support them once they get there.

For Ashton Carter, the top Pentagon official in charge of weapons purchases, that has meant focusing on the concrete — literally. Basic materials for building bases are in short supply or nonexistent in Afghanistan, so U.S. officials must search for staples like concrete next door in Pakistan.

Another priority: Getting thousands of blast-resistant trucks from Oshkosh Corp.’s factory in Oshkosh, Wis., to U.S. forces in the Afghan hinterlands.

“At this phase, Afghanistan is a logistics war as much as any other kind of war,” said Mr. Carter, whose formal title is under secretary of defense for acquisition, technology and logistics, in a recent interview.

Unlike Iraq, Afghanistan has no modern infrastructure. Critical supplies such as fuel must be imported. The country is landlocked and has just three major overland routes. Enormous distances separate bases and outposts. High mountains and valleys, as well as extreme weather, make air travel difficult.

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Sunday, December 6, 2009

Cool Stuff: Concrete Cloth

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