Feral Jundi

Friday, September 16, 2011

Mexico: Has Mérida Evolved? Part One: The Evolution Of Drug Cartels And The Threat to Mexico’s Governance

Filed under: Mexico,Strategy — Tags: , , , , , — Matt @ 5:37 PM

“I never thought we would contemplate the day when ‘true believers’ from a Mexican cartel would start looking a lot like jihadists fighting for Al Qaeda—instead representing a perverted form of Christianity—but such a day appears very close at hand.” -Dr. Robert Bunker, House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere

This is a fascinating testimony about the strategy, or lack there of, for the war in Mexico. That quote up top came from Dr. Bunker and his assessment of what is going on down there, and it does make you pause. The cartels are just as awful as jihadists, and sometimes worse. The violence going on down there is truly hellish and horrific. This is also on the US border and not in Iraq or Afghanistan! Dr. Bunker also mentioned that the drug war and cartels/gangs in the Western Hemisphere are a larger threat to the US than islamic extremists. (Very bold statement.)

I would also add one little thing to Dr. Bunker’s testimony, and that is he forgot to mention an area of study that will help to understand the cartels a little better. That would be the market of force or privatized force in war. Or to even delve into the new area of study that I have mentioned in the past called Offense Industry. States and non-state actors alike, all use Offense Industry to achieve their goals. The Sicarios and how they are bough/sold/used are a prime example.  And especially the similarities between the early Condottieri /free companies in 14th Century Italy and these current cartels. Or the history of pirates and how their business and war fighting has evolved, or remained the same. Money and how it guides the actions of these combatants, must be understood so we can develop strategies for stopping them.

The other thing I would like to hear in these testimonies is the manpower issue. If this is viewed as a narco insurgency, then a realistic assessment must be made to find out how many and what type of forces would be needed to counter such a thing? The same type of deal was applied to Iraq and Afghanistan, and we need to know how short the Mexican’s really are with ‘trusted’ and capable security forces. We also must look at the utility of all and any available sources of manpower–to include private industry and/or the Mexican people. (like promoting and assisting a Mexican Spring?) Hat tip to Small Wars Journal for this one. –Matt

 

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Mexico: CIA and Pentagon Wonder–Could Mexico Implode?

Filed under: Mexico — Tags: , , , , , , — Matt @ 5:51 PM

   Thanks to Doug for sending this.  More bad news out of Mexico, and it is certainly alarming to hear this perspective from our military and intelligence leaders. I guess on the bright side, there will probably be opportunities for training gigs in the near future, and we have talked about that in the past on FJ. With Plan Mexico or the Merida Initiative, you can see what is included.  Training is mentioned twice, and not just for Mexico. –Matt 

The Merida Initiative will provide funding for:

    * Non-intrusive inspection equipment such as ion scanners, gamma ray scanners, X-ray vans and canine units for Mexico and Central America.

    * Technologies to improve and secure telecommunications systems that collect criminal information in Mexico.

    * Technical advice and training to strengthen the institutions of justice, case management software to track investigations through the system, new offices of citizen complaints and professional responsibility, and witness protection programs to Mexico.

    * Eight used Bell 412 EP helicopters and two Cessna 208 Caravan surveillance airplanes to Mexico.

    * Equipment, training and community action programs in Central American countries to implement anti-gang measures and expand the reach of these measures.

——————————————————————-

No money or weapons will be provided to Mexico or Central America.

CIA And Pentagon Wonder: Could Mexico Implode?

by Tom Bowman

February 27, 2009  

Drug-related violence in Mexico is escalating at an alarming rate and threatening the government of President Felipe Calderon.

CIA and U.S. military planners now fear a worst-case scenario — that the country could implode.

The American military is quietly stepping in with more training.

It seems that every night in Mexico there are reports of drug-related violence — murders, kidnappings, armed battles with police, narco-traffickers who outgun even the Mexican army with their rocket-propelled grenades.

“Thousands [have been] murdered this year,” says retired Army Gen. Barry McCaffrey, who served as U.S. drug czar under President Clinton. He visited Mexico recently and painted a desperate picture.

(more…)

Monday, February 2, 2009

Mexico: Enhanced role Expected for U.S. in Drug Cartel Battle

Filed under: Mexico — Tags: , , — Matt @ 3:26 PM

     This little story has a lot of meat, and I want to point out the most interesting quote.

Howard Campbell, a border anthropologist and drug expert at the University of Texas at El Paso, said Mexico’s situation is different from Colombia.

“I really characterize this as a civil war, even if it’s not formally declared,” Campbell said. “We’re seeing all the casualties of a war, people murdered, people wounded, people fleeing their homes, social disintegration and chaos.

“This is more like Afghanistan than Colombia, with regional, powerful chieftains who operate with complete authority, oftentimes through graft and corruption.”  

    Mexico is more like Afghanistan, than Colombia?  Boy, this gets more interesting the more we look at this.  And it sounds like with the Merida Initiative, private contractors will be an important element to the plan, much like how we were used in Colombia.  Interesting times. –Matt  

——————————————————————- 

 

Enhanced role expected for U.S. in drug cartel battle

January 28, 2009

By ALFREDO CORCHADO / The Dallas Morning News

acorchado@dallasnerws.com / The Dallas Morning News

chief Alfredo Corchado is currently a Nieman fellow at Harvard University.

MEXICO CITY – Alarmed by spiraling drug violence along their shared border, U.S. and Mexican officials say they foresee an enhanced U.S. role in the battle against powerful cartels, including joint operations that could involve private American contractors or U.S. military and intelligence personnel.

The U.S. and Mexican officials say their cooperation could go beyond the current practice of “sharing intelligence.” They say that historical concerns about Mexican sovereignty may be overcome by the challenge in restoring stability to key regions, particularly along the border.

(more…)

Powered by WordPress