Feral Jundi

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Books: Castles, Battles, And Bombs–How Economics Explains Military History, By Jurgen Brauer And Hubert Van Tuyll

This is a great little book and I highly recommend it just for the chapter 3, ‘The Renaissance, 1300-1600–The Case of the Condottieri and the Military Labor Market’. What makes this book so cool is that it describes the history of the Condottieri from the point of view of economics. Stuff like principal agent problem and asymmetric information are the areas that this book goes into, and I found it to be fascinating.

The book also talked about today’s PMCs and how they are being used, or misused. The authors even gave some kudos to Executive Outcomes for being an effective PMC versus the UN during the Sierra Leone war.

But back to the Condottieri or Italian contractors/mercenaries. (Condottieri were the mercenary captains and also contractors in general) This is very interesting material, because the authors discussed the incentives of these mercenaries back then that helped to alleviate the principal agent problem. They used things like bonuses, or the individuals were allowed to ransom and loot as part of the contract. (back then, this was a standard feature of warfare of all armies)

Probably the one thing that piqued my interest the most is the use of bonding agreements within the contracts. I have talked about bonds in the past or how these could be effective tools for getting companies to do what you need them to do, and this book talked a little bit about how bonds were used in the past.

Specifically, the authors mentioned a lecturer named Daniel Waley whom examined twenty Italian mercenary contracts that had been preserved from the late 13th century. There were 11 contracts from Bologna, 5 from Siena, 1 from Florence, 2 from Piedmont, and one from the March of Ancona. All of them were issued between 1253 and 1301, with fifteen of them after 1290.

All of the contracts had these elements in common:

1. Number of men to be hired.
2. Type of force. (cavalry, infantry, etc.)
3. Number of horses to be supplied.
4. Values of the horses. (minimum and maximum)
5. The mendum or compensation for horses injured or killed.
6. Provisions for arms and equipment.
7. Length of contract. (usually 3 or 6 months)
8. Contract renewal option.
9. Payment for travel to place of engagement.
10. The rate of pay and pay period. (usually once every two months)
11. The pay differentials among various grades of hired men. (commanders, cavalry, infantry, crossbowmen)
12. The division of prisoners, ransom, and booty.
13. The secure release if the hired men were themselves taken prisoner.
14. Bonus pay. (retention of booty, double pay for battle days)
15. Jurisdiction, default and penalty clauses.
16. Dispute Resolution within the hired band.
17. Loyalty clause.
18. A performance bond. (6 of the 11 Bolognese contracts had bonds guaranteeing good behavior)

As you can see, the contracts were pretty involved back then. The book mentioned that contracts used to run about 4,000 words, but later contracts shortened up a bit and ran about 1,000 to 3,000 words. The authors pointed out that the hiring states began to develop regulations that helped to make contracts more formulaic, and thus easier to write. It is easier to point to laws and regulations of that state, as opposed to make provisions that cover ‘everything’ within in a contract.

What is interesting is that this is exactly what has happened with today’s companies. There were really not enough regulations on the use of companies in the beginning days of Iraq or Afghanistan, and so contracts really had not control features.(we also had problems because of this) Now, the contracts are a lot better, just because of the amount of scrutiny that has been applied to the companies and the government. I have seen a dramatic increase in regulations, and we will probably continue to see this evolution take place.

The performance bond is interesting to me. I mentioned this in my post about Reflex Responses that they had a performance bond in their contract with the UAE, and that is smart. Early American privateers had to be bonded in order to receive a Letter of Marque as well. Of course the bond survives in other industries, and it is just one tool of many to provide incentive in the principal agent problem–or to get folks to do what you want them to do.

The other thing that this book talked about is modum stipendii and modum societatis. Or basically contracting with an individual versus contracting with the leaders of mercenary companies. Contracting with individuals was problematic, because each had their own set of intentions. But hiring a group with a leader that motivates them and keeps them together, is far more dependable and easier to manage.

Of course with today’s companies, this is how it works. The US government rarely contracts with individuals, and it is far more easier and efficient to contract with DynCorp and have them provide the bodies. But this also got me thinking about how companies recruit.

I have thought about this concept in the past, as far as hiring groups of individuals for companies. If a company could hire a squad or platoon of contractors, where all of them fought together in their old unit or company, and they had a leader for bargaining purposes, then a company could gain advantage of having a team that has unit experience, integrity and cohesion. This is an issue that I have seen out there, and it would be interesting to see companies try this out. Because to me, a unit with experience, integrity and cohesion is extremely valuable to a company for the offense and defense.

The book also defined a time period where Italian cities switched from hiring individuals to hiring units. They started using the term Lance or lancea in contracts which was a unit of 3 men. Perhaps this might be a feature of modern contracts? It would be far easier to find Lances who all knew each other and fought together in let’s say the Marines. The survival of such teams would be higher, and their effectiveness on the battlefield would be better because that unit experience/cohesion/integrity element was already there. (that’s if you have a good leader leading these lances)

The other deal that was interesting to me is the pay for the common mercenary back then. They did not make a lot of money, and it was the mercenary captains that became wealthy. These grunts would make the same amount as day-laborers for stuff like construction. The book said they averaged 9 florins a day, from between 1321 and 1368. It sounds like rates continued to fall as time passed, and the basic grunt definitely took it in the shorts. They also had tons of pay issues, like late pay, not getting paid or receiving forged money! lol And we talk about pay problems these days?

But like with any military or PMC, past or present, if you screw with the soldier’s pay, they tend to get pissed off. Or they just leave. Countries like Iraq or Somalia have experienced what happens when you don’t pay soldiers or police, and security is highly dependent upon making sure guys are getting paid on time and the amount that was agreed upon.

These old mercenaries also sold their equipment to make enough money to get by between contracts, and life for a soldier was tough back then. As a result of this low salary, contractors tended to gravitate to contracts with the most stability and longevity. If you have a family to feed and bills to pay, then this becomes understandable in today’s realm. (I have seen contractors leave contracting to be soldiers again, and I have seen soldiers leave the military to be contractors. Which might indicate equilibrium of a sorts?)

The other thing I wanted to touch on about the book is they do go into offense industry a little bit. Contractors were paid bonuses for all sorts of things, like for storming a castle, acts of bravery, or for bounties. Anything to give an incentive. They also offered pensions to contractors that were loyal, something Sir John Hawkwood depended on greatly towards the end of his career. (the lesson here is save your pennies!)

Well, that is all I will get into with the book. Check it out in the Jundi Gear Store, and I have provided some links below for your convenience. –Matt

The third chapter of the book on Google Books here.

Book Description
Publication Date: May 1, 2008

Castles, Battles, and Bombs reconsiders key episodes of military history from the point of view of economics—with dramatically insightful results. For example, when looked at as a question of sheer cost, the building of castles in the High Middle Ages seems almost inevitable: though stunningly expensive, a strong castle was far cheaper to maintain than a standing army. The authors also reexamine the strategic bombing of Germany in World War II and provide new insights into France’s decision to develop nuclear weapons. Drawing on these examples and more, Brauer and Van Tuyll suggest lessons for today’s military, from counterterrorist strategy and military manpower planning to the use of private military companies in Afghanistan and Iraq.

“In bringing economics into assessments of military history, [the authors] also bring illumination. . . . [The authors] turn their interdisciplinary lens on the mercenary arrangements of Renaissance Italy; the wars of Marlborough, Frederick the Great, and Napoleon; Grant’s campaigns in the Civil War; and the strategic bombings of World War II.

“This study is serious, creative, important. As an economist I am happy to see economics so professionally applied to illuminate major decisions in the history of warfare.”—Thomas C. Schelling, Winner of the 2005 Nobel Prize in Economics

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Publications: 2010 International Code Of Conduct For Private Security Service Providers

2010 International Code of Conduct for Private Security Service Providers

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Publications: Innovation In War–COIN Operations In Anbar And Ninewa Provinces, Iraq, 2005-2007

 The standing operating procedure (SOP) for the unit typically focused on: (1) Planning and establishing the COP; (2) Ensuring route security so each outpost could be kept resupplied; (3) Clearing operations after the COP had been stood up to clear IEDs and find weapons caches; and (4) Census patrols to follow after the clearing operations to consolidate the position and gradually work its way into the human terrain of the area – the real target of MacFarland’s campaign. 

*****

     This is an excellent paper that discusses some of the key innovations of the war.  The main theme that I am getting from all of this, is intelligence, intelligence, and intelligence.(jundism hint)

     If you notice in the publication, there are some themes that keep getting repeated.  The importance of networks or fusion is one of them.  To bring together different groups of experts, and have them contribute to actionable intelligence. And feeding these fusion groups requires interaction with the terrain, population and the enemy.

    Hence why COPS or combat outposts are so important.  It allows a unit to insert itself into the heart of a population/insurgency center and get as much information as they can via census patrols, sensors, raids, attacks against and by the enemy, etc. All of this is fed into a searchable database that can be cross referenced and searched by other units and organizations, and future deploying units and organizations. In other words, all actions and collected information is fed into the machine.

    I also liked the reference to ‘continuous improvement’. Too bad the author didn’t use the term Kaizen in the paper though. I also saw hints of ‘learning organization’, which is also an incredibly important concept for developing winning TTPs and strategies. Because once you have all of this great information and experience, you have to build a snowmobile out of it so you can win the fight. A rigid organization that doesn’t seek feedback internally and externally, work together and with others, or doesn’t innovate, will not succeed.

    Now here are my ideas to further the concepts into our industry.  Right now we are witnessing the African Union stumbling along in Somalia and trying to gain a foothold.  My thoughts on the whole thing is that you could take a PMC that was composed of former military leaders familiar with these concepts, and help the AU to organize accordingly. Or AFRICOM could send a leadership team in there to help organize the effort.  Either way, I see no reason why the AU forces could not replicate this strategy in Mogadishu right now.

    I also think that PMC’s could learn a lot from these types of strategies. PMC’s have had to set up remote sites that are very similar to ‘COPS in a box’. The CMC projects are a prime example. But what was missing with those operations was deliberate census patrols or the other means of intelligence collection that the Marines and Army could use.

    The way human intelligence was collected for these projects was often through the process of hiring and working around locals for guard positions and general labor projects. You learn all sorts of things about the locals when you work around them all day, day in and day out.

    Imagine though that if PMC’s actually did census patrols as part of the contract? Or planted sensors in abandoned buildings in their area? That data could not only be useful to that PMC, or future replacement PMC’s, but could also be added to a much larger database that the military could use? A PMC remote site and the routes they travel daily could be an excellent source of intelligence for the military units of that area, but unless that PMC is brought into that fusion process, it will simply be another lost chance at crucial data collection.

     It would also be nice if PMC’s could take advantage of that fusion process as well, and access the COPLINK or whatever database that is established locally. It could save lives and win wars, but it also requires both the military and civilian equivalents to talk and work with each other. Stuff to think about as we continue the fight and learn new ways of doing our thing in this war. –Matt

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Innovation in War: Counterinsurgency Operations in Anbar and Ninewa Provinces, Iraq, 2005-2007

James A. Russella

August 2010

To cite this Article: Russell, James A. ‘Innovation in War: Counterinsurgency Operations in Anbar and Ninewa Provinces, Iraq, 2005–2007’, Journal of Strategic Studies, 33:4, 595 – 624

Abstract

This article analyzes operations by three battalions conducting counterinsurgency, or COIN, operations in Iraq over the period from July 2005 through March 2007: the 1st Battalion, 7th Marine Regiment (1-7) along the Iraq-Syrian border in the first half of 2006; the 1st Battalion, 37th Armored Regiment (1-37) battalion operating in south-central Ramadi in the fall of 2006; and the 2nd Battalion, 1st Infantry Regiment, or 2-1, operating in eastern Mosul in 2005-06. The empirical evidence presented in these cases suggest that, contrary to popular perceptions, the units successfully innovated in war – a process largely executed organically within the units themselves. Innovation is defined here as the development of new organizational capacities not initially present when the units deployed into the theater. The evidence presented in these cases suggests that the innovation process enabled these units to successfully transition from organizations structured and trained for conventional military operations to organizations that developed an array of new organizational capacities for full-spectrum combat operations. The units in this study developed these new capacitites largely on their own initiative.

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Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Industry Talk: Policing Foreign Subcontractors And Contractors Is A Problem For NGO’s, PMC’s And The UN

And, sir, we fired him, we fined him, but we as a private organization can’t do any more. We can’t flog him, we can’t incarcerate him. That’s up to the Justice Department. We are not empowered to enforce U.S. law. -Erik Prince Testimony Before Congress, 2007

*****

   This is an excellent little article below, and the quote up top kind of sets the stage for the problem that needs solving. I should note that this is not just a problem for PMC’s in Iraq and Afghanistan, but for NGO’s and the UN as well. So while reading this, understand that the lessons learned here could also apply to those other organizations out there that work in foreign lands and depend upon contractors and their subcontractors to get work done. Governments that depend on the services of these organizations need to figure this stuff out as well, because they stand to lose much if their mission is hindered or threatened by the actions of contractors and subcontractors.

    As you can see with Erik Prince’s famous testimony, that pretty much says it all.  I have yet to work for a company that had it’s own prison or set of laws to abide by. The laws we were to follow were that of our host nation, or the laws applied by whatever nation the customer we worked for belonged to. Each contractor’s country has laws that could also be brought into the mix. But when it comes to actually applying the rule of law to contractors who do wrong, that is when things get all screwed up. It gets really screwed up, when a contracting company uses ‘subcontractors’, because that adds even more confusion.

    So really, like Mr. Prince said, all companies can do is fire that individual, fine that individual, and notify the customer that contracted their services that this happened. Companies in Iraq and Afghanistan also have a difficult choice between wether or not they should tell the police of those countries. Especially during the different phases of the war or if that country is a failed state.

    In the early phases of the wars, most companies would not hand over their employees to weak or failing governments for prosecution.  In a way, that would be a worse crime than whatever that contractor did. It does happen though. An example of that is the corrupt justice system in Afghanistan that is currently holding contractors and giving them punishments that are far more extreme than the supposed crime they committed. Or falsely arresting contractors and extorting them.  With that kind of twisted legal system, why would a company hand over a contractor or subcontractor to such a system? (unless forced to because of some political mess created by the customer a company is serving)

    Which goes back to the customer.  In today’s war, the customer has usually been the US government.  So why haven’t DoD, DoS, or USAID applied any kind of rule of law or punishment to contractors and subcontractors in the course of the war? That is a great question, and I haven’t a clue why the media and critics continue to blame companies for the lack of action on the part of these customers.  It’s as if government has no responsibility in this matter, and the companies continue to be the fall guy. But companies continue to take contracts because no one wants to solve the problem or accept responsibility for any criminal outcomes do to a lack of rules/laws. See how the cycle works? lol

     But of course NGO’s and the UN are in the same boat as PMC’s.  They too operate in foreign lands, and they hire contractors and their subcontractors and have to face the same legal issues as well.  But they are the ‘good guys’ and they get no mention at all by the critics? Pfftt. That is why all parties in this discussion could learn from each other as to the best way forward.

     One solution is for countries to start issuing licenses or letters of marque again. I look at these documents as a connection between the law makers of a country, and the private industry or organizations that want to do work for those countries either locally or abroad. For this to properly work, two licenses would be needed–one from the host nation, and one from the parent nation of that company or organization. If the host nation is a failed state or in the middle of a war, then all that would be required is one license from the country paying the bills. And really, one license is all that is needed, but hey, if the customer wants you to have a license from the other country you are operating in (depending on the state of said country), then so be it.

     For NGO’s, they would be issued licenses by the countries they wish to help.  It would be a similar to a SOFA that is signed between two nations for militaries.  Call it a SONA or status of NGO’s agreement if you will.  I just call it a license to operate in that country, or letter of marque. This license would be a set of rules and laws that an NGO could look to as guidance, and it would also be something they could pass on to their workforce (contractors/subcontractors) as to what the deal is. Of course in this system of operation, all who are involved must know what they are getting themselves into when they sign on as a contractor.  That means the local national, expat, or third country national work force would have to know the rules and laws that apply to them directly. For each type of contractor, the license should also state what applies to them as well. Of course a local national already falls under the laws of that country, but the license can dictate what the company or organization has to do in the case of contractor wrong doing.

     As for the UN, perhaps they could be the issuer of a LoM as well? If they are truly representative of nations throughout the world, then a LoM from this type of organization should come from the blessings of all of these nations. Perhaps the security council would be the issuing authority, and before any contractor could be used by the UN, they must have this license (and a license from the host nation if the council deems necessary)?  Of course within the language of the license would be the outline as to what would be done to a contractor or subcontractor if they committed minor offenses, all the way up to murder or rape?

      The other reason why I like this licensing system, is that this is a direct connection between the law makers of countries, and private industries/organizations. I envision lawyers from both a company/organization and a government going into a room, and hashing out exactly the terms of the license. A logical outcome from that discussion would be a set of laws that would satisfy the requirements of that country and allow companies/organizations to provide a service.

     I would also put expiration dates on a license or mechanisms that would automatically expire the license, just as a means of control.  This was crucial to early usage of privateers when the Letter of Marque was used back in the day. The modern use of such a thing should also have contract limits and other stop gaps so things can be reevaluated and adjusted as conflicts and missions change.

      What is interesting about this system, is that at least some rule of law can be decided upon between two parties and the contractors and subcontractors that are hired under such a system would know exactly what would happen to them if they broke the laws outlined within the license. The license negotiations could also have military lawyers involved as well, so that the strategies used by military planners will not be hindered by the terms of the license.  Get all the legal guys in a room, and get it done.  Millions if not billions of dollars are at stake, the reputation and objectives of all involved are on the line, and the safety and health of all involved could all depend upon the rules and laws laid down by such licenses. Other than that, I don’t know of much else that countries and companies/organizations could agree upon to get the job done and insure some rule of law is applied to the process?

     Another component of the license that would be very important, is verification.  A trust by verify system that ensures companies and organizations are actually abiding by the terms of the license/laws.  That would require monitors, which seems to be what everyone is screaming about for much of today’s contracting issues already. So the party issuing the license, would have it in their best interest to insure monitors are available per contract/subcontract to insure everything is done right.

     Violations of the laws and rules within the license, would also be defined by the license itself. If a contractor or subcontractor wants to work for that NGO, PMC, etc., then they are also falling under the terms of that license. That means you could now be a criminal to whomever issued the license, if you violate the law you in signed on to follow. Letters of Marque are mechanisms that other countries would have to recognize, much like countries recognize each other’s borders or governments, and basically these companies and organizations would be flying the flag of customers, and abiding by the laws/rules set forth in the license. As a contractor, you play under those laws until you are done with the contract. If the license was set up properly, the scenario spelled out by Mr. Prince would then have one more element, and that is the requirement of the company to abide by the license/laws.

     But like I have said before, these issues of the rule of law would be decided upon by the law makers of countries and the lawyers of companies and organizations through meetings and negotiations. Just some food for thought, and I am sure there are other ideas of the way forward as well.

     By the way, it is funny how I continue to go back to this very simplistic licensing system that nations used to use for hundreds of years. I laugh because we are expending so much energy in trying to ‘reinvent the wheel’ when it comes to this stuff, and all we have to do is look to the past for the lessons learned. –Matt

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The Struggle to Police Foreign Subcontractors in Iraq and Afghanistan

Billions at Stake, but U.S. Investigators Stymied by Murky Rules, Enforcement Obstacles

By Nick Schwellenbach and Lagan Sebert

August 29, 2010

To win hearts and minds in Afghanistan and Iraq, military experts want U.S. companies to contract with local firms for a variety of tasks like trucking, feeding troops, and providing security. The U.S. government’s “Afghan First” and “Iraqi First” initiatives increasingly seek to rely on local contractors, often through subcontracts, in part to stimulate their local economies.

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Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Call To Action: Vehicle Decals And Licenses In Iraq

     Hey folks, get the word out on this.  If you are having problems getting your vehicles credentialed for work in Iraq, then tell your company that traveling outside the wire is a no go.  The reason for that is if you are pulled over by the Iraqis and you do not have that stuff, you could get in some trouble.  The kind of trouble that could get you arrested or heavily fined by the Iraqis.  This is especially important now that Iraq is kind of in limbo with the government crap right now, and the police and military might not feel like playing nice with contractors.

     Hopefully in the case of DynCorp, they will get this squared away before they force their teams to travel without those credentials.  If any other contractors are running into the same issues with their company, or have any input, I am all ears. Bravo to this contractor who contacted Marc Ambinder and got the word out about this.  As the war winds down, and the military pulls out, these types of things will be more common and very important to hash out.  Definitely demand that your company does the right thing out there.

     This also goes to the US government and their relationship with Iraq.  This is some basic diplomatic stuff here.  I realize that we are trying to get the Iraqis to take charge of their country and get responsible, but we also have a responsibility to our contractor force. To do all we can to protect them from these Iraqi growing pains is in our best interest.  After all, contractors are putting their lives on the line in defense of government property and personnel–I would think that would count for something?-Matt

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Contractors Pressured to Perform in Iraq Without Valid Credentials

August 4, 2010

By Marc Ambinder

The United States is rapidly drawing down troops in Iraq, and contractors are picking up the slack. DynCorp International, in particular, employs hundreds of ex-soldiers and cops to act as bodyguards and shepherds for State Department personnel across the country. The company also trains Iraqi police forces.

DynCorp is under intense pressure to perform without blemish. Private security companies and their employees are under scrutiny from both the U.S. and Iraqi governments more than ever before because of a string of incidents. Within the military, soldiers who quit to join these companies are derided as “mercs.” The culture among DynCorp’s ranks is similar to that of elite military units — what happens out there stays out there. It’s dangerous. Contractors get killed and injured with regularity. The pay is OK — it starts at $90,000 a year — and the working conditions — living in tents, eating MREs — are harsh. State Department officials have told me that the U.S. is generally pleased with DynCorp’s performance so far … but DynCorp is pretty much the only company that can do what State needs it to do.

But one member of an elite unit, a former Army Ranger who asked not to be identified, is concerned that DynCorp and the U.S. government are cutting corners unnecessarily.

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