Feral Jundi

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

Fish And Game: Feral Pig Explosion In Iraq?

Filed under: Fish and Game,Iraq — Tags: , , , , — Matt @ 3:28 AM

   I read this thing and got a chuckle out of it. So the Christian hunters used to keep the pig population in check in Iraq back in the day? Interesting.

   My only message to the folks in Kirkuk is that if you want those pigs eradicated, then issue hunting licenses and tags.  Then allow the hunters to sell the pigs to someone who wants them for food. You could create an entire industry out of it, and harvest some pig.

   You could also bring in some folks to eradicate the pigs for you.  I know plenty of hunter/contractors out there that could easily take a dent out of your feral hog population.

   If you turned it into an exotic hunting reserve type deal, you might attract some tourists looking for something interesting.  Rich hunters go all over the world for safaris in places like Africa.  Iraq would be a very unique experience for this class of hunter.

   Another idea is to let your soldiers hunt and kill these things.  They can work on their marksmanship skills and squad movements through the mountains and flat lands.  Turn hunting the pigs into a military exercise of sorts, complete with navigation and tracking. Take lemons, and make lemon aide out of the deal. –Matt

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In this war, pigs are besting Iraqi farmers

By Michael GisickApril 13, 2010

KIRKUK, Iraq — Of all the calamities war has loosed upon Iraq, pigs are not among the most obvious.

Yet, there they are, across a growing swath of northern farmland, a scourge of feral swine risen from the reeds to root among the furrows and wreak havoc on the fields.

“We farmers don’t even want to plant anymore because the pigs just eat it all,” said Abdullah Abdullah, a farmer southwest of Kirkuk whose fields have been trampled by swine. “And this animal, he is not just eating like other animals. He also destroys.”

In better times their numbers were checked, in part, by hunting parties of Christians from Kirkuk who, unlike the Muslim farmers of the countryside, wanted the pigs for food.

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Maritime Security: India’s Government Suggests Shipowners Use ‘Private Armed Guards’ For GOA

Filed under: India,Maritime Security — Matt @ 2:07 AM

In 2009, pirates attacked 214 vessels and held 58 Indians hostage. India’s government is suggesting that Indian shipowners adopt an “anti-piracy drill” and use private armed guards and decoy vessels to boost sailors’ security in deep waters.

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“They hunt like lions, seeking weak and vulnerable prey,” says Mainstone.

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Hmmm. Private armed guards and decoy vessels? Is someone in India reading FJ and getting some ideas? (Q ships come to mind) Especially if pirates keep mistakingly firing on massive warships–what idiots. lol

The new conclusions I have been coming up with for today’s piracy issues, is that pirates have discovered a modern day business model of piracy that works and is profitable. Remember, these guys are operating in an entirely free market with no restrictions what’s so ever. No laws, no borders, nothing. All that matters is going after the weakest prey, and feeding their pride.

What I mean by that is that pirates do answer to one group, and that is their investors. That widowed Somali in the village that offered up one RPG round to the cause, is the share holder that the company has to answer too. Take it a step further, and if jihadists invested in their seaborne business venture, they really need be paid back. The only thing that will stop this free market based criminal venture and war, is organized and violent men that makes that venture too much of a risk.

As it stands now, just paying off ransoms to these guys only feeds this piracy machine. The pirate companies that are the best at taking down ships, will get the most investments and attract the most qualified pirates. Everyone loves a winner. Those successful pirate companies will also infuse innovation into the piracy game, and everyone will aspire to be like them. They will copy their operations, their tactics, their boats, and everyone will fight to out do the other guy and get rich. That is the allure of piracy to the Somali.

Until that venture becomes a zero sum game to the Somali pirate, or any pirate, things will only get worse. And because Somalia is a failed state, there is nothing of risk for the pirate back home. In essence, they only have to risk the violence of the assault at sea, but as soon as they get that boat, they can bring it back home and they know that their government can’t do a thing about it.

With that said, arm the boats. There is a talent pool of capable folks that the Indian shipping industry can draw upon throughout the world and I say arm the boats. If shipowners want professionals, there are a number of ways to find them and get them on their boats. Believe me, if a company put up an ad for what exactly the Indian’s wanted on their boats, they would get a massive reply from my industry. I am sure there are security specialists in India that would jump all over that stuff too. Like I said, there would be no problem at all in contracting this out and getting good people on your boats.

Shipowners can also draw up some excellent contracts, based on all the lessons learned from today’s conflicts. There is no excuse for writing a poor contract, or not moderating the contracts properly. There are plenty of mechanism that you could put into a contract these days in order to insure that you get a good service as well.

Most of all though, you have to decide how much you are willing to pay for such a thing? In my view, if you pay peanuts you will get monkeys. How important is your boat and the safety of your crew and what are you willing to pay to insure their safety? Or you can continue to pay ransoms or what I call ‘the pirate’s salary’. Not to mention that premiums will only go lower as less boats/hostages get taken and the insurance companies recognize the value of your security measures. –Matt

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India shipping firms seek new anti-pirate strategy

By Salil Panchal

April 11, 2010

MUMBAI — Alarmed by a big jump in pirate attacks, India’s shipping industry says it needs a new security strategy to safeguard vessels in the dangerous waters off Somalia’s lawless coast.

At least 95 Indian sailors are still being held by Somali pirates after they seized nine small ships in the Indian Ocean off the coast of Africa late last month, the Indian government says.

The attacks, targeting one of the world’s busiest maritime trade routes, were the latest in a string on Indian vessels in which dhows — slow-moving, mechanised boats — have been among the most vulnerable.

“(Dhow) piracy is becoming a major problem,” said Captain Harish Khatri, India’s deputy director general of shipping who attended an anti-piracy conference last week in Mumbai.

Publications: RAND–Military Capabilities For Hybrid War: Insights From The IDF In Lebanon And Gaza

Filed under: Israel,Publications,Strategy — Matt @ 12:55 AM

Furthermore, the introduction of sophisticated weapons (e.g., ATGMs, MANPADS) could radically escalate the challenges faced by U.S. forces in Afghanistan, as it did for the Soviet Union in the 1980s.

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That quote up top is the one part I really clued in on, and I have talked about this in the New Rules of War posts, as well as the Toyota Horde post. Of course Israel thinks they have a counter to these types of munitions and tactics, and it will be interesting if they can truly stop this stuff. But I am skeptical.

The thing with anti-armor is that small teams armed with smart munitions, could also be armed with the knowledge on how to properly deploy that stuff. The brain is the weapon here.

Think of it this way. For one Javelin ‘fire and forget’ missile, you could have ten distraction troops all slinging RPG’s at the vehicle. Worse yet, think of ten troops firing .50 call long guns at the anti-missile system on the tank to destroy it, and then go for the kill with the big gun. I don’t care how bad ass a counter missile system mounted on a tank is, you cannot defend against a swarm attack like this. And this is nothing new. If anyone ever cared to read all the numerous books and manuals on the various ways of using anti-armor munitions, they would know this.

Also, look at the use of Stinger missiles by mujahideen during the Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan. ‘Small and many’ teams armed with smart munitions were able to destroy many helicopters and cause all sorts of problems for the Soviets.

What limits smart munitions use amongst today’s enemies, is probably a number of factors. A better accounting of who makes it, and who they are selling the stuff too. Cost is another factor. Counter-terror operations are another factor. Training is definitely a factor, and an enemy force would either need a state sponsor to bring in these kinds of resources, or hunt around for some veterans of some military who know these new systems or knows anti-armor strategy at the small unit level.

I also think EFP’s are game changers. They are cheap to make and very difficult to defeat. An enemy who knows how to properly use these things and was a student of maneuver warfare, could very well do some damage to an advancing armored column. Especially if they were able to prep the battlefield. Or get this, how about suicide EFP bombers. Guys who run up to tanks at the perfect distance and direction, and trigger the munitions themselves. Of course they would be martyred, but they would also take out a tank or APC. If you think like today’s enemies, a tactic like this is not that far fetched. Below, I posted the conclusion of the paper, but I highly recommend reading the entire thing. Enjoy. –Matt

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Military Capabilities for Hybrid War: Insights from the Israel Defense Forces in Lebanon and Gaza

By David E. Johnson

Relevance of the IDF Experience for the U.S. Army

Although the U.S. security situation is much different from that of Israel, similarities do exist.

Both nations believe they must prepare for challenges across the range of military operations.

Therefore, the following insights from recent Israeli experience have relevance for the U.S.

Army:

• The basics of combined arms fire and maneuver are necessary for successful operations

against opponents with capabilities like Hezbollah and Hamas. These hybrid opponents

create a qualitative challenge that demands combined arms fire and maneuver at lower

levels, despite their generally small-unit structures.

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Strategy: Smart Power And The Defense Industry

   Boy, this is a long one and this will take you a little bit to read through all the speeches and various articles.  But hey, if you are a student of strategy and are wanting to take a look into the future of defense contracting, you have to figure out what the big boys are thinking and wanting to do.

   What is interesting about ‘Smart Power’, is that it is a concept that gained it’s start as a political buzz word to differentiate one party’s views on foreign policy versus another’s. Which is standard play in the world of politics. Although I would argue that every administration no matter what party, all strive to use smart power in their foreign policy strategies. But hey, I will let the political pundits play that game–I have more important things to talk about.

   With that said, with a new administration comes newly minted foreign policy goals. Smart power is the flag pole that they are rallying around and that is what we all must focus on in order to stay current.

   There are a number of places to research the definition and origins of the concept of smart power.  For this post, I wanted to stick with Matt Armstrong’s definition of smart power because his pays respect to the original strategists who promoted such concepts back in their day.  He built a ‘snow mobile’ out of it, and brought in Sun Tzu and Clausewitz to create four pieces to the definition.(see below)

   Now that we have perspective and reference for smart power, my intention in this post was to highlight what the defense industry thinks about smart power.  Just look at the latest moves of Cerberus, and you will see how important this smart power concept is.  DynCorp, along with other defense companies involved with contracting, are all trying to adapt to the goals of a new administration and their ‘smart power’ focus, and investors are taking notice.  So what does all this mean for security contractors like you and me?

   Training, training, and more training is going to be the wave of the smart power future.  In order to stop a state from failing, you need to get into nation building, and the defense industry is jumping all over that.  From training police and military forces to propping up government institutions, the defense industry is all about training and mentoring. Expect to see more contracts in really bad places in the world, all with a focus on strengthening the recognized government and stabilizing that country.  Those are the places that need expertise and all the help we can give them, and private industry will answer that call.

   We also can provide other necessities of the state.  We can build defenses, enforce borders, build government facilities, create ‘Green Zones’, guard dignitaries or investors (commerce is vital to failed states as well), build infrastructure and provide the necessary support to the U.S. military and federal government as they go around the world and implement ‘smart power’. We are the SysAdmin and the ‘hold and build’ portion of today’s strategies. Security contractors are essential for all of that, whether a local national guard or it being an expat guard.  Someone has to protect these folks as they rebuild a crumbling state.

   Smart power is very friendly to private industry in another way.  Using military for everything when it comes to nation building, is not smart.  If we want to put a civilian face to our diplomacy, as opposed to a menacing military face, then smart power requirements will need civilians.  Of course there will be federal employees providing that civilian face, but that only goes so far, and federal response is no where near as fast as private industry response.  In other words, private industry equals speed, flexibility and scalability.  In a fast paced and highly dangerous world, private military companies with nation building capabilities and built in security mechanisms will be necessary to implement smart power strategies.  Just look at today’s wars and projects throughout the world, and tell me private industry doesn’t have a role in that process?  (might I note that contracting has only increased under the current admin–too bad we get zero recognition for our contribution to smart power)

   Interesting stuff, and let me know what you think. –Matt

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Smart Power is “the capacity of an actor to combine elements of hard power and soft power in ways that are mutually reinforcing such that the actor’s purposes are advanced effectively and efficiently.”  Those familiar with Sun Tzu and Clausewitz will recognize the four elements of Smart Power:

• The target over which one seeks to exercise power—its internal nature and its broader global context. Power cannot be smart if those who wield it are ignorant of these attributes of the target populations and regions.

• Self-knowledge and understanding of one’s own goals and capacities. Smart power requires the wielder to know what his or her country or community seeks, as well as its will and capacity to achieve its goals.

• The broader regional and global context within which the action will be conducted.

• The tools to be employed, as well as how and when to deploy them individually and in combination.

From the Mountain Runner blog.

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What’s “Smart Power”? DynCorp’s Tony Smeraglinolo on six best practices

April 12th, 2010

by JD Kathuria

“Smart power” — ever since Defense Secretary Robert Gates outlined the policy in a 2008 speech, it’s become the emerging tenet for how the United States should approach global security initiatives. Through a mix of military strength and nation-building activities, the aim is to keep “fractured or failed states,” as Gates put it, from teetering on the brink of war — or from requiring the US military, already stretched thin in Iraq or Afghanistan, from having to intervene further.

The urgency for smart power has only grown with the Obama administration’s call for $39.4 billion in funding for civilian foreign operations in fiscal 2011. Now comes the hard part: Determining how smart power can be implemented effectively to address global challenges.

Tony Smeraglinolo is working to cut through that uncertainty. As president of Global Stabilization and Development Solutions for DynCorp International, Smeraglinolo offers up this succinct definition: Smart power requires the application of three D’s — Defense, Diplomacy, and Development.  Since assuming his role in April 2009, Smeraglinolo has helped structure his division at DynCorp to provide all three core competencies.

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Industry Talk: Cerberus Agrees To Acquire DynCorp In $1.5 Billion Deal

   “Private-equity firms are focusing on defense service providers rather than hardware makers, making a calculation that military demand for services will hold up better than hardware in the years ahead,” Loren Thompson, a defense analyst with the Lexington Institute….

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   This is a big deal.  When a company like Cerberus pulls the trigger on purchasing DynCorp, along with previous purchases of IAP Worldwide Services, Tier 1 Group and Radia Holdings, I tend to take notice.  Cerberus is reading the tea leaves of defense and positioning themselves to own the companies that will matter in the future.  To me, this signifies that defense services, as opposed to defense hardware makers, is the new ‘big sexy’ in defense.

   It also tells me that Cerberus is doing their homework.  I have never been contacted by their people, but I am sure they have been reading through all the strategy papers and forward looking stuff that is produced by all the think tanks to come to their conclusions.  Plus they have two long and expensive wars to study along with the GWOT.  They have made their determinations about the future of defense, and these chess moves say a lot.  This is a recognition of the fact that contractors are a strategic necessity for our future wars, and now investors are catching on.

   The other point on this is DynCorp’s current owner Robert McKeon (Veritas Capital) made a lot of money on this deal. Very impressive return on investment if you ask me. –Matt

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Bill Ballhaus Talks About DynCorp Acquisition

April 12th, 2010

by John Adams

Bill Ballhaus, an ExecutiveBiz 2009 Person to Watch and CEO of security giant DynCorp (NYSE: DCP) shared his thoughts on his firm being purchased by Cerberus for the cool sum of $1.5 billion.

“I believe that under this partnership with Cerberus, DynCorp International will be able to build on our extensive heritage and successful performance to continue to achieve our growth objectives.” He added, “this transaction is a major milestone for DynCorp International’s continued leadership in serving our customers and supporting U.S. national security and foreign policy objectives.”

Link to quote here.

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Cerberus Agrees to Acquire DynCorp in $1 Billion Deal

April 12, 2010

By Emily Thornton and Gopal Ratnam

April 12 (Bloomberg) — Cerberus Capital Management LP, the private-equity firm whose takeover of Chrysler Corp. ended in bankruptcy, agreed to buy defense contractor DynCorp International Inc. for about $1 billion.

Cerberus, run by Steve Feinberg, will pay $17.55 a share, Falls Church, Virginia-based DynCorp said today in a statement. The price is 49 percent more than DynCorp’s closing share price on the New York Stock Exchange on April 9. The deal, expected to close in the third or fourth quarter, is valued at $1.5 billion including the assumption of debt.

DynCorp, which helps train Iraqi police and supports the U.S.’s operation of military bases, is at least the fifth government-services investment that Cerberus has made since 2000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Cerberus owns government contractors including IAP Worldwide Services Inc., Tier 1 Group and Radia Holdings Inc.

“Private-equity firms are focusing on defense service providers rather than hardware makers, making a calculation that military demand for services will hold up better than hardware in the years ahead,” Loren Thompson, a defense analyst with the Lexington Institute, a public policy research group in Arlington, Virginia, said in a telephone interview.

DynCorp rose 48 percent, the most since its initial public offering four years ago, to $17.41 at 4:02 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading.

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