Feral Jundi

Friday, October 23, 2009

Somalia: Scores Killed as Somali President Leaves for Kampala

Filed under: Industry Talk,Somalia — Tags: , , , , — Matt @ 5:52 PM

   Boy, CSS Global has their work cut out for them.  What gets me about this kind of attack, is this is Nisour Square material.  Insurgents opened up in a crowd, the ensuing firefight ends up killing innocents because they were caught in the cross fire, and no doubt, the insurgency will blame AMISOM and the government and turn it into a propaganda salad for everyone to eat.  In a place where there is such little value placed on life, this comes as no shock and you have to expect that. One thing that CSS might want to think about, is putting video cams on their vehicles.  That way, as soon as there is a fire fight or ambush, it can be proven who started it and where it came from, and they can show on film what their response was.

     Al Shabab and others will be doing all they can to take advantage of any propaganda scenarios, and trying to force a CSS protection team into a fight that results into civilian deaths would be up on the top of the list for embarrassing the US and the new Somalia government.  How you counter that, is to get the film out about what went down, way before the window lickers can.  To visually show justification for the ensuing fire fight(if it came to that), and turn it around on these guys.  Either way, the guys at CSS need to study the Nisor Square accident, and figure out what they need to do in order to work through that kind of worse case scenario.

   However they counter the attack and the propaganda value of the attack, is up to them.  I highly suggest the company reach out to those in the industry and government that are in the loop for the best industry practices for dealing with this kind of thing.  All sorts of companies do things a little different, and by now, everyone has found their happy place with this kind of operation.  Build your snowmobile with this one, because all eyes are on CSS to get this one right. Good luck.-Matt

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Somalia: Scores Killed as Somali President Leaves for Kampala

22 October 2009

Nairobi — Fifteen people died and many more were wounded when Somali rebels attacked the airport as a presidential convoy headed there before jetting off for a summit in Uganda.

As the presidential convoy headed for Mogadishu’s Aden Abdulle Airport, Islamists opposing the Transitional Federal Government started targeting the airport and Maka al-Mukarramah Avenue that links Villa Somalia, the state house in Mogadishu, to the runway.

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Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Somalia: Fresh Turmoil, Uncertainty As President Resigns

Filed under: News,Somalia — Tags: , , , — Matt @ 1:27 PM

 “The extremist al Shabaab Islamist group is best placed to take control of Mogadishu, but this is not a foregone conclusion,” said David Shinn, a U.S. expert on the Horn of Africa at George Washington University.

While al Shabaab have spearheaded attacks this year to become the face of the insurgency, they lack popular support, and do not have enough fighters to rule on their own without alliances with Islamist movements, analysts say.

Al Shabaab’s hardline ways — such as strict imposition of sharia law, banning drinking or films, and the beheading of several suspected government collaborators — sit uncomfortably with many among Somalia’s traditionally moderate Muslims.

 

   Both of these articles point to the same reality.  Islamists will be ruling Somalia.  The question is what kind of Islamists will be ruling Somalia and will they work with the west and put a check on the things we worry about?  Namely harboring terrorists and allowing piracy.  Al Shabaab is way to extremist for Somalis, and once they have taken control and there is no one else to fight, how will the Somalis view their form of Sharia Law? 

   Strategically, I think that is the idea.  Let them take the city, and then diplomatically we support the moderate factions who would be better to negotiate with in the future and better for the people of Somalia.  The support should not be overt though, because anything the west touches, will disgust the local populations.  

     And get the Ethiopians out of there, because those forces are infuriating the local populations and driving support to Al Shabaab.  When the dust settles, we must find a competitor to Al Shabaab who is willing to work with the west and the rest of the world, and who also can win the support of the people.  Good luck with that one though, and that is the challenge.  A good first step towards that goal though is to reshuffle the deck, and watch what happens when Ethiopia leaves, the President resigns and more than likely Al Shabaab takes over.

     –Matt 

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Somalia: Fresh turmoil, uncertainty as president resigns

Date: 29 Dec 2008

NAIROBI, 29 December 2008 (IRIN) – Fresh turmoil and uncertainty loom for the people of Somalia – already ravaged by displacement, conflict, drought and hyper-inflation – after the country’s interim president resigned on 29 December.

Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed resigned after disagreements with parliament and his prime minister, as well as pressure from the international community.

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