Feral Jundi

Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Somalia: The Text Messaging Insurgency

Filed under: Africa,Somalia,Technology — Tags: , , , , — Matt @ 6:19 PM

    This is interesting, because this is the same method of communication that the Mumbai terrorists used to communicate.  Short concise orders that are instantly transmitted by phone via text messaging.  What I think would be interesting is to somehow break into a network that is using text messaging, and throw some orders in there to mess with that network.  Either that, or figure out a way to just make these guys paranoid about using this communication system, and force them to use something else, like just human couriers. That way, you have a communication system that is built upon the fallible mechanism of the human.  –Matt 

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Somalia’s text message insurgency

By Mohamed Mohamed 

Published: 2009/03/16 

The name of Somalia’s Islamist insurgent group al-Shabab – it means “The Lads” – may conjure images of a lovable band of rogues.

But the radical militia is a fiercely secretive and ruthless organisation with alleged links to al-Qaeda.

The leaders of the group – which has taken over swathes of central and southern Somalia – are unknown to their subordinates.

The middle lieutenants get their orders through text messages, or phone calls from recognised voices, giving them proof the instructions are coming from the right person.

The leaders of al-Shabab are called “emirs” and they do not usually come from the region they administer.

The emirs are said to use text messaging systems daily. The mid-ranking emirs and foot soldiers are given prepaid phone cards to carry out their day-to-day operations.

Text messages are also used to threaten those al-Shabab believes oppose them.

Anyone who ignores these warnings is likely to receive a visit from the gunmen.

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Saturday, March 7, 2009

Building Snowmobiles: Social Networking and War–MySomalia.com and MyPMC.com

   This is a two part article with one focused on using social networking for Somalia state and nation building.  Part 2 is dedicated to using social networking as a tool for business and Kaizen for PMC’s and PSC’s. This was probably my most challenging and thought provocative topic, and it’s hard to say if I really hit on something of value or not.  So to me, this is pure building snowmobiles, and certainly unexplored territory. I also want to warn you, that some of these concepts are kind of out there, but still something to chew on around the water cooler. Let me know what you think. –Matt 

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(Part 1) 

MySomalia.com

     I have been thinking about Somalia for a bit after my discussion with Eeben Barlow and after a little research, I have stumbled upon a concept that I think should be looked at. It is a combination of social networking and private military, all with the goal of building the state and a nation.

     I think the Somalia government, with it’s new President, should create a MySomalia.com and attract the millions of Somalis world wide, that give money to their families in Somalia anyways.  This diaspora of Somalis, could be tapped into as a funding source, and an activist force for the country. The model for such a thing would be MyBO.com (President Obama’s campaign social network site, that made him 200 million dollars in funding, and rallied millions of supporters)

     And to take advantage of the power of tribes in Somalia, you could put an option in the profile building pages of MySomalia.com on what tribe you came from.  That way other Somalis could identify their tribes or groups, but do it all under the mechanism of the main group of MySomalia.com.  That actually would help enforce the idea of nation, but still allow the freedom to express what tribe you came from. The key to success with a site like this is a strong architecture and a strong brand, and letting your supporters do the rest. It would be really interesting to watch how Somalis and friends of Somalis would help that country, if given this kind of social networking tool.    

     I point to Noah Shactman’s comment he made on Wired about Obama’s social networking site, and why it worked so well. I think PMCs and Governments would be wise to look hard at the potential of social networks.  I know NASA, FBI, CIA, and numerous other private firms are all using social networking sites to exchange ideas and rally the people within those organizations.

(more…)

Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Somalia: Just a Glimmer of Hope, Economist

Filed under: Africa,Somalia — Tags: , , , , , — Matt @ 11:45 PM

Some suggest extending the mandate of the AU’s present embattled force of Ugandans and Burundians for another year. The AU troops could perhaps be bolstered by private security firms to let UN offices and foreign embassies be re-established in Somalia, helping Mr Ahmed get a grip on Mogadishu. At the least, the airport should be secured. The UN’s special envoy, Ahmedou Ould-Abdallah, a former foreign minister of Mauritania, says he is determined to move his office from Nairobi. “Why [is there a green zone] in Baghdad and Kabul but not in Mogadishu?”, he asks plaintively. 

    This was taken out of the very last section of this article, as a possible solution to help this newest Somali president.  The idea is very interesting, and it is nice to see the Economist even include PSC’s in the discussion about possible solutions.  As far as this being a good idea, I don’t know.  The big problem I see with this, is the strategic implications.  PSC’s must be viewed as plausible solutions, and not money hungry mercenaries.  So however they are used, it must totally be geared towards Ahmed’s country wide strategy, and countering the Shabab.  

     The Shabab will totally use the presence of foreigners, much like they did with Ethiopia troops, as a tool to justify Shabab ‘Taliban-like’ rule in Somalia.  So however PSC’s are used, they must be viewed as the protector of the people and a temporary tool of the government–but they must also deliver on the goods and quickly.  There must also be a proper PR campaign implemented, and it should be included in the contract, before any insertion of PSC’s or PMC’s. And once on the ground, it will be a total battle for the hearts and minds of the people, along with being effective in protecting the people and the legitimately elected government.  It can happen, and Executive Outcomes was able to do just that in Angola and Sierra Leone, and Somalia could benefit from a similar effort. Things to think about. –Matt

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Somalia’s civil war 

Just a glimmer of hope

Feb 26th 2009 | NAIROBI

From The Economist print edition

After 18 years of strife, there is a small chance that a new Somali president and a new American one could make a fresh start.

THE most smashed-up country in the world has reached a crossroads. The recent election of a moderate Islamist, Sharif Ahmed (pictured above), as Somalia’s new president may offer the best chance of peace in the country for more than a decade. As head of the Islamic Courts Union that held sway over a chunk of Somalia in 2006, he was later driven into exile by invading Ethiopian troops backed by America. So it was quite a turnaround when, on his first day in office a few weeks ago, this courteous former geography teacher went to Ethiopia and got a standing ovation from heads of state in its capital, Addis Ababa, at an African Union (AU) jamboree.

(more…)

Saturday, January 10, 2009

Paracargo: $3 Million Paracargo Drop for Saudi Tanker, Somalia

Filed under: Maritime Security,Paracargo,Somalia — Tags: , , — Matt @ 2:28 AM

   This is the first time I have ever heard of paying off pirates by using the paracargo method.  I imagine the chute was a guided system so it landed where they wanted it to go.  What a dramatic finish to the world’s biggest ship hijacking, and this one is for the books.  Then the clown shoe pirates sank in their get away boat, and lost their loot to Davy Jones.  You can’t make this stuff up, and thanks to Doug for sending me this. –Matt

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paracargo loot

The apparent ransom payment is delivered via a parachuted container to pirates holding the Sirius Star.

 

Pictured: The moment a $3million ransom was parachuted to Somali pirates

By David Gardner

Last updated at 11:53 PM on 09th January 2009

This is the dramatic moment a ransom of $3million was paid to Somali pirates to end the world’s biggest ship hijacking.

The canister full of cash was parachuted onto the Sirius Star – observed by the U.S. Navy who provided these images – and the two-month ordeal of the 25 crew, including two Britons, was finally over.

However things went badly wrong for the pirates soon after the drop – they squabbled over how to split the money and then a wave washed off their getaway boat and drowned five of them.

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Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Somalia: Fresh Turmoil, Uncertainty As President Resigns

Filed under: News,Somalia — Tags: , , , — Matt @ 1:27 PM

 “The extremist al Shabaab Islamist group is best placed to take control of Mogadishu, but this is not a foregone conclusion,” said David Shinn, a U.S. expert on the Horn of Africa at George Washington University.

While al Shabaab have spearheaded attacks this year to become the face of the insurgency, they lack popular support, and do not have enough fighters to rule on their own without alliances with Islamist movements, analysts say.

Al Shabaab’s hardline ways — such as strict imposition of sharia law, banning drinking or films, and the beheading of several suspected government collaborators — sit uncomfortably with many among Somalia’s traditionally moderate Muslims.

 

   Both of these articles point to the same reality.  Islamists will be ruling Somalia.  The question is what kind of Islamists will be ruling Somalia and will they work with the west and put a check on the things we worry about?  Namely harboring terrorists and allowing piracy.  Al Shabaab is way to extremist for Somalis, and once they have taken control and there is no one else to fight, how will the Somalis view their form of Sharia Law? 

   Strategically, I think that is the idea.  Let them take the city, and then diplomatically we support the moderate factions who would be better to negotiate with in the future and better for the people of Somalia.  The support should not be overt though, because anything the west touches, will disgust the local populations.  

     And get the Ethiopians out of there, because those forces are infuriating the local populations and driving support to Al Shabaab.  When the dust settles, we must find a competitor to Al Shabaab who is willing to work with the west and the rest of the world, and who also can win the support of the people.  Good luck with that one though, and that is the challenge.  A good first step towards that goal though is to reshuffle the deck, and watch what happens when Ethiopia leaves, the President resigns and more than likely Al Shabaab takes over.

     –Matt 

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Somalia: Fresh turmoil, uncertainty as president resigns

Date: 29 Dec 2008

NAIROBI, 29 December 2008 (IRIN) – Fresh turmoil and uncertainty loom for the people of Somalia – already ravaged by displacement, conflict, drought and hyper-inflation – after the country’s interim president resigned on 29 December.

Abdullahi Yusuf Ahmed resigned after disagreements with parliament and his prime minister, as well as pressure from the international community.

(more…)

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