Feral Jundi

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Publications: RAND–The Phoenix Program and Contemporary Counterinsurgency

Filed under: Afghanistan,Publications — Tags: , , , , — Matt @ 7:51 AM

   I read these two articles by Mr. Haddick, and I took issue with a few points.  First, a viable COIN/Phoenix program would not only identify the enemy within an area, but it could also collect info on potential leaders to fill the gap once that enemy is removed.  And those leaders, in my view, are the natural tribal leaders that these folks would follow anyway. But really, that would be part of the mission as well, and that is to identify the best replacement leaders in a tribe or village and insure everything is in place before any action is taken.

   Or maybe you don’t take any action at all and just use that information that was collected for some bigger picture stuff. My point is that we need to understand the nodes of influence in these tribes and villages, and use that information to drive the strategies in our war efforts. Kill, capture, or just watch and learn–disrupt, dismantle, or destroy.

     I guess it would be nice if we could say that the government could fill in those vacancies, but in all actuality, a tribal leader would be better suited to watch over his people if some Taliban jackass was taken out of the picture. It would be nice if the government could control all of these tribes and rule over every square inch of their land, but at this time, and within the time frames we are trying to operate under, it is unrealistic.  I say co-op with the tribes, and co-op with the government at the same time, and maybe some day in the future the government can actually apply some rule of law and control in these remote areas. Besides, once the government is something that is appealing to the tribes, and there is actually some benefit, then they will naturally gravitate towards that kind of thing.  But with all the corruption and inability to protect anyone up in the hills, sorry, I don’t see it happening for them.  There are no Lions of Panjshir that I know of in government right now.

   Now the kind of program that I would like to see, is one that works with the types of tribes that support our efforts. The kind of tribes that hate the Taliban and do not want them to come back.  Next is to help these tribes, like with Maj. Gant’s TET concept, to defend themselves so they are strong enough to beat back the Big T.

     Then recruit from these tribes to form a crew that has the guts and intelligence to do the kinds of operations that would keep up the pressure on the Taliban and company well into the future. That is where the Jezailchis Scouts would come in.  The JS would be the special forces of that tribe, and these scouts are the types that would be perfect for future Phoenix type programs.  Especially if we wanted to send folks disguised to be Taliban, into regions that are under the Taliban death grip.  You need smart and capable recruits for that kind of duty, much like the Selous Scouts were back in their war, and the Jezailchis Scouts could be the answer.

   The way I envision these scouts, is that they would be fully committed to the concept of killing Taliban and practicing their deadly trade of sniping and tracking. These are the heroes and warriors of the tribes who would pride themselves on how well they shoot and maneuver in the mountains.  These are the real mountain men of the region, and once this is in full swing, we could be tapping into this deadly resource for all types of missions. That is the kind of folks you would need to do really specialized types of operations, like what a Phoenix program would require.  And if we were to look at how the Selous Scouts were able to assemble similar types of teams, then you would see the logic behind this and how lethal it could be.  You could even recruit former Taliban for something like this, and they would be ideal candidates because of their intimate knowledge of the enemy.

   That is my thoughts on the matter, and I would like to hear what you guys think?  Either way, check out this paper on the Phoenix program and see if you can ‘build a snowmobile’ out of it. –Matt

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Jezailchis

The Jezailchis Scout? 

Does Afghanistan need a Phoenix Program?

By Robert Haddick

July 31, 2009

The Office of the Secretary of Defense hired the RAND Corporation to study the Vietnam-era Phoenix Program and recommend whether some of the program’s controversial techniques might be useful in Afghanistan. RAND’s researchers endorsed a Phoenix-like effort for Afghanistan and in the process, attempted to dispel some of the program’s myths.

What was the Phoenix program? RAND’s relatively brief report summarizes its history: In 1967 the U.S. military command and the CIA created a program — later called Phoenix — that began as an effort to improve intelligence-sharing among a long list of U.S. and South Vietnamese agencies.

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PMC 2.0: Social Networks as Foreign Policy, The Onion Router, and Humari Awaz

Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who has written about the efficacy of samizdat in undermining the Soviet Union, sees a similar dynamic at work here. “The freedom of communication and the nature of it,” he has said, “is a huge strategic asset for the United States.” 

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    These three stories are all inter-related and based on this first one below.  The more I read this, the more I keep thinking that someone is reading Feral Jundi and taking the hint.  lol.  There are all sorts of things we could be doing with these technologies, and it is great to see some innovation in that department.  I especially like the Humari project, because that is flipping cool.  Facebook is already accessible on a mobile platform, but to actually create a social network for mobile for the Pakistani market?  That is neat.

   Why are these stories in PMC 2.0? Because not only is the freedom of communication and the nature of it an excellent strategic asset for the US, it is an excellent strategic asset for companies.  I recommend the reader to go back through all of the PMC 2.0 and social networking related posts that I have made in the past, and evaluate for yourself on the validity of this concept.  The future is coming and everyone will have mobile smart phones and everyone will be using social networking sites.  Is your company ready for that?-Matt

Edit: 12/14/2009- Check out this paper written at the Heritage Foundation about Public Diplomacy 2.0.

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Social Networks as Foreign Policy

12/12/2009

From the 9th Annual Year in Ideas

In August, after the suppression of Iran’s pro-democracy protests, officials in Tehran accused Western governments of using online social networks like Twitter and Facebook to help execute a “soft coup.” The accusation wasn’t entirely off-base. In Iran and elsewhere, this year showed the growing importance of social networks to U.S. foreign policy.

Long before the protests in Iran started, the Broadcasting Board of Governors, which oversees U.S. civilian international broadcasting, had in place software to counter censorship in countries like Iran, so people could better access the blogosphere. And the State Department financially supports agencies that make it easier for Iranians and others to surf the Web. After the protests began, the State Department asked Twitter to reschedule a maintenance outage so the activists could continue to spread the word about their movement.

The United States has long disseminated information to people living under repressive regimes — think of Radio Free Europe. The difference here is that the content of the information isn’t the important thing; the emphasis is on supporting the technical infrastructure and then letting the people decide for themselves what to say. Communication itself erodes despots’ authority. “The very existence of social networks is a net good,” says Alec Ross, a senior adviser on innovation to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

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Friday, December 11, 2009

Congo: The Conflict Mineral Problem and The PMC Solution

Filed under: Africa,Congo — Tags: , , , , — Matt @ 11:15 AM

Changing this situation requires physically securing the major mines and wresting them away from the control of armed groups. This is an urgent priority, but has thus far been ignored by the UN and other actors. 

*****

     Ok, this one pisses me off.  All of these ‘Save Africa’ organizations, or anti-conflict mineral groups are pretty idealistic, but lack any kind of realistic solutions. Most seem like they are more concerned with raising money to maintain their salaries and organization size, as opposed to promoting any kind of real solutions.

    I took a snippet of a paper written by the Enough Project, which supposedly is the answer to the Congo’s conflict mineral problem.  I thought it was interesting when they started talking about actually ‘securing’ strategic mines, so I thought I would expand upon that. Securing anything requires taking something from someone, and that requires organized violence and offensive capability.

   How do these guys expect to secure anything, with the kind of force they are talking about? MONUC is the solution?  Pffft.  Obviously the folks at the Enough Project have way more faith in the UN’s mission in the Congo than I do, and that is scary.

   Now if we wanted to get serious about securing mines, and especially if those mines are controlled by rebel groups, then it is going to take some capable folks who can do a job like that.

     Ideally it would be a professional army that would take this task on.  But if anyone has been following the news these days, all the professional armies out there are kind of busy right now.  That whole global war on terror thing is really sucking up the man power if you know what I mean.  Plus, I just don’t see anyone jumping up and down, ready to lend their ultra kick ass troops to the UN to do anything.

   Which brings us to the next possible solution, and that is the private military company.  A company like Executive Outcomes is a prime example of the type of PMC I am talking about. If the UN or the Enough Project really wanted a mine secured, and wanted to dry up the financing for these rebel groups, then it could be contracted out, and the task would be accomplished.  This is not conjecture, this is not pie in the sky dreaming, this is reality.  Executive Outcomes actually did secure mines when they were in existence, and in some of the worst areas of Africa, and they were quite good at it.

   I also like to bring up this concept of responsibility to protect, or R2P, my favorite ‘save Africa’ quote.  Born from the ashes of the Rwanda genocide, R2P was the West’s way of saying never again. Whatever……

   Guess what, the war in the Congo is the deadliest war since WW 2, and over five million people have been killed there.  What happened to responsibility to protect?  If we have the means to stop something like this, and it is blatantly obvious that there is a viable solution, then we are not doing everything in our power to stop it.  We are thus allowing a crime against humanity to happen, and on an epic scale. Responsibility to protect should instead be responsibility to do nothing while millions of people are killed.

   So for the folks at the Enough Project, good luck with your hollow strategy.  I am sure it will get you a few donations from some guilt ridden grandma in Michigan with a big fat diamond ring. Better yet, I am sure it will get you invited at a few of those pity parties in hollywood. –Matt

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A Comprehensive Approach to Congo’s Conflict Minerals-Strategy Paper

From the Enough Project

2) Identify and secure strategic mines

The U.N. Group of Experts has documented how armed groups on all sides of the conflict, including the Congolese military, profit from resource exploitation and threaten the local population. They control mines, tax commerce, and prey upon civilians involved in the trade. State mining inspectors are intimidated or co-opted by armed groups and are incapable of reigning in these activities. While MONUC’s mandate has recently been broadened to monitor illicit resource flows, it will take a much more concerted international investment to truly change the security calculus in the mineral-rich areas.

Changing this situation requires physically securing the major mines and wresting them away from the control of armed groups. This is an urgent priority, but has thus far been ignored by the UN and other actors. The recent joint Congo-Rwanda military operation—ostensibly against the FDLR, though direct engagements with the FLDR were infrequent—removal of CNDP leader Laurent Nkunda, and incorporation of CNDP into the local political and military authorities in North Kivu has jolted the status quo. A mutually acceptable security context around the mineral trade in eastern Congo is a critical component of a lasting détente between Kinshasa and Kigali, and the international community has an opportunity in the wake of recent events to support solutions that benefit ordinary Congolese.

Different strategies must be employed for armed groups with diverse origins and agendas. Former CNDP, Mai Mai groups, and non-integrated army brigades may be best dealt with via security sector reform. These efforts are unlikely to completely demilitarize the mining sector in the short-run, but have the best prospects of shifting the status quo toward fostering legitimate trade in the medium-term. In contrast, operations against the FDLR will require much more military strength in a concentrated effort to weaken the FDLR leadership, deny them access to minerals wealth, encourage defections, and protect civilians from reprisals.

In the short-term, poorly planned action by ill-disciplined Congolese forces incapable of protecting civilians or actually holding FDLR territory will only compound already dire circumstances in Congo. But the identification of strategic mining sites can begin now. MONUC should collaborate with the government of Congo in identifying key mining sites under the control of armed groups. Such efforts should not focus on any one militia, but instead should be selected based on size, proximity to transit routes, and the ability of MONUC or trained and vetted Congolese forces to maintain their security.

Securing critical mining sites

There are hundreds of mines controlled by gunpoint in eastern Congo. But these following mines are particularly key to armed groups:

Bisie Mine, Walikale District, North Kivu: Produces the lion’s share of tin ore in North Kivu. Recently shifted hands from the non-integrated 85th Brigade of the Congolese Army—a de facto Mai Mai militia—to an integrated brigade under the command of a CNDP commander, Colonel Manzi. It is unclear whether the new soldiers are physically present in the mines, but they are already active at checkpoints and are taxing miners.

Lueshe Pyrochlore Mine, Rutshuru District, North Kivu: Now under the control of the Congolese Army and CNDP. One of the few industrial mining sites in the Kivus, produces Niobium, which is closely related to Tantalum. One of the sites most immediately conducive to start-up of industrial operations.

Bisembe, Mwenga Territory, South Kivu: Mines around Mwenga are controlled militarily and economically by the FDLR, who have established a mini-state in this region of South Kivu. Securing this area will require significant efforts to sever the FDLR’s military and administrative control, and should only be considered with ample planning, including provisions to protect civilians.

Other important mining areas include the Misisi gold mine in Fizi, South Kivu, tin, tantalum and gold mines in Ziralo, Kalehe South Kivu and the gold mines around Ksugho in North Kivu’s Lubero territory.

 Properly integrated Congolese security forces—supported by MONUC and international military observers—should secure these mining sites and the transit routes associated with their trading chains, including select airfields, ports, and border crossings. To the maximum extent possible, this should be carried out via negotiation and with positive incentives for commanders willing to relinquish their hold over these sites and enter into DDR programs. Such initiatives will require a far more robust approach than prior Congolese demobilization programs, which have wound up providing cover for continued coercive minerals exploitation without reducing its militarization. With thorough vetting to screen for human rights abusers, and following a significant training process, the rank-and-file from armed groups should become eligible for integration into security services. Together with a strengthened MONUC, such a force could provide the immediate physical security necessary to regulate the trade in minerals, from these specific mines to markets to export points in eastern Congo. This approach must be grounded in a more comprehensive and coherent effort to support broad security sector reform in Congo.

From the Enough Project

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Cash The Killer

December 11, 2009

The UN has concluded that the primary problem with violence in eastern Congo is the illegal trade in illegal trade in valuable minerals. For example, Hutu rebel militias control the mining of cassiterite. While the major source is Bolivia, Congo contains large deposits. Cassiterite is a component of tin ore and is used increasingly in electronics. It sells for over nine dollars a pound (nearly $20 per kilogram). The Hutu warlords have established an informal, and illegal, network that mines and transports the cassiterite from eastern Congo to Uganda and Burundi, and eventually the United Arab Emirates, where its enters the world market. This network also supports the mining and smuggling of coltan and wolframite. This trade is similar to the one that supports, or supported, rebel movements in Sierra Leone, Liberia and the Ivory coast. The valuable commodity there was diamonds. The illegal trade in Sierra Leone and Liberia have largely been shut down.

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Training: Bill Scott, Founder of Summit Point Motorsports Park and BSR Inc., Dies at 71

   Sorry to see him go, and what a legend.  BSR Inc. is one of the top security driver schools out there, and Bill definitely created an excellent product that hopefully will continue strong well into the future.  BSR is definitely on my list for driving schools, and they come highly recommended in the industry. –Matt

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Bill Scott, Summit Point Motorsports Park owner, dies at 71

12/08/2009

By JULIE E. GREENE

SUMMIT POINT, W.Va. — William H. “Bill” Scott, owner of Summit Point Motorsports Park and BSR Inc., and a 1970 Formula Vee world champion, has died, longtime friend and professional colleague Roger Lyle said Tuesday.

Scott, 71, of Middleburg, Va., died Monday. He had been battling cancer, Lyle said.

He is survived by his wife, Barbara, and children.

BSR Inc. trained thousands of drivers in accident-avoidance techniques, including defensive driving and counter-terrorism tactics, Lyle said. Drivers trained through BSR included those for government agencies such the CIA, the State Department and the Secret Service, as well as the U.S. Air Force and diplomatic agencies, Lyle said.

“Bill was a good man. He was a tough man. On the racetrack and off the racetrack, he was hard to beat. He was down-to-earth,” said Lyle, of Hagerstown.

Lyle is president emeritus of the Mid-Atlantic Road Racing Club, a motorcycle racing club based at Summit Point Raceway.

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Thursday, December 10, 2009

Industry Talk: Jax Desmond Revealed, and It Ain’t Pretty

Filed under: Industry Talk — Tags: , , , , — Matt @ 12:27 PM

     So here it is folks.  I am officially removing the company link from the site, and I have removed all connections to the company at Facebook.  Feel free to do whatever you want.  My reasons are simple.  There are three conversations that the reader can check out, which helped me to come to my own conclusions.  One is at SOCNET, one is at Tactical Forums, and one is from a post I did on them back on November 7th of this year. Check out the comments on that post, because my readership called it.

     And to highlight the power of the forums, this is a prime example of what they can do.  Over the years I have seen these forums, along with others, do some amazing investigative work on companies that claimed to be bad ass or something they weren’t.  Doom on you if you try to play games on those forums. Jax Desmond is the latest topic de jour, and they did a great job revealing what JD was all about.

     My readership here did a good job of pointing out JD’s stuff as well, but when you watch an entire crew of security professionals, investigators, law enforcement, and everything inbetween guys pick apart a company like this, it is really quite impressive to watch.  It is how this industry has named and shamed these groups in the past, and it ain’t pretty.  I saw them do the same thing with Top Cat and Custer Battles, and it is impressive to say the least.  That is all. –Matt

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